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Nonlinear Adventures at the Zero Lower Bound

Author

Listed:
  • Rubio-Ramírez, Juan Francisco
  • Fernández-Villaverde, Jesús
  • Guerron-Quintana, Pablo A.
  • Gordon, Grey

Abstract

Motivated by the recent experience of the U.S. and the Eurozone, we describe the quantitative properties of a New Keynesian model with a zero lower bound (ZLB) on nominal interest rates, explicitly accounting for the nonlinearities that the bound brings. Besides showing how such a model can be efficiently computed, we find that the behavior of the economy is substantially affected by the presence of the ZLB. In particular, we document 1) the unconditional and conditional probabilities of hitting the ZLB; 2) the unconditional and conditional probabilty distributions of the duration of a spell at the ZLB; 3) the responses of output to government expenditure shocks at the ZLB, 4) the distribution of shocks that send the economy to the ZLB; and 5) the distribution of shocks that keep the economy at the ZLB.

Suggested Citation

  • Rubio-Ramírez, Juan Francisco & Fernández-Villaverde, Jesús & Guerron-Quintana, Pablo A. & Gordon, Grey, 2012. "Nonlinear Adventures at the Zero Lower Bound," CEPR Discussion Papers 8972, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:8972
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    New keynesian models; Nonlinear solution methods.; Zero lower bound;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E30 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • E50 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - General
    • E60 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General

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