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Measuring credit procyclicality: a new database

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  • Delatte, Anne-Laure
  • Bouvatier, Vincent
  • Rehault, Pierre-Nicolas

Abstract

Today, the data available to estimate the credit cycle involve a trade-off between country coverage and frequency. In addition, there are pending methodological issues to estimate credit trend and cyclical components. To address these limits, we build a new database on credit metrics that relaxes the trade-off and includes credit procyclicality measures along three alternative methods- HP filter, the modified HP filter and basic SSA. The credit gaps in our database are statistically consistent with bank credit gaps estimated with BIS data and they have the advantage of being available for 163 countries instead of 43 countries. Armed with this new and expanded data, we revisit classic empirical questions in the literature.

Suggested Citation

  • Delatte, Anne-Laure & Bouvatier, Vincent & Rehault, Pierre-Nicolas, 2021. "Measuring credit procyclicality: a new database," CEPR Discussion Papers 16519, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:16519
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    1. Bouvatier, Vincent & El Ouardi, Sofiane, 2023. "Credit gaps as banking crisis predictors: A different tune for middle- and low-income countries," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Credit cycle; Credit gap; Cross-countries comparison; Credit booms; Global financial cycle; Hodrick-prescott; Singular spectrum analysis;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers
    • F42 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - International Policy Coordination and Transmission

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