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The International Spread of COVID-19 Stock Market Collapses

Author

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  • Contessi, Silvio

    (Monash Business School)

  • De Pace, Pierangelo

    (Pomona College)

Abstract

We identify periods of mildly explosive dynamics and collapses in the stock markets of 18 major countries during the COVID-19 pandemic of 2020. We find statistical evidence of instability transmission from the Chinese stock market to all other markets. The recovery is heterogeneous and not explosive in all markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Contessi, Silvio & De Pace, Pierangelo, 2020. "The International Spread of COVID-19 Stock Market Collapses," Economics Department, Working Paper Series 1013, Economics Department, Pomona College, revised 25 Jun 2020.
    • Handle: RePEc:clm:pomwps:1013
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    File URL: https://scholarship.claremont.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1013&context=pomona_fac_econ
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Peter C. B. Phillips & Shuping Shi & Jun Yu, 2015. "Testing For Multiple Bubbles: Historical Episodes Of Exuberance And Collapse In The S&P 500," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 56(4), pages 1043-1078, November.
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    RePEc Biblio mentions

    As found on the RePEc Biblio, the curated bibliography for Economics:
    1. > Economics of Welfare > Health Economics > Economics of Pandemics > Specific pandemics > Covid-19 > Economic consequences > Stock market

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    Cited by:

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    2. Zhang, Wenwen & Cao, Shuo & Zhang, Xuan & Qu, Xuefeng, 2023. "COVID-19 and stock market performance: Evidence from the RCEP countries," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 717-735.
    3. Mariana Hatmanu & Cristina Cautisanu, 2021. "The Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on Stock Market: Evidence from Romania," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(17), pages 1-22, September.
    4. Sinda Hadhri, 2021. "Fear of the Coronavirus and Cryptocurrencies' returns," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 41(3), pages 2041-2054.
    5. Wang, Lu & Wu, Jiangbin & Cao, Yang & Hong, Yanran, 2022. "Forecasting renewable energy stock volatility using short and long-term Markov switching GARCH-MIDAS models: Either, neither or both?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
    6. Liu, Yuntong & Wei, Yu & Wang, Qian & Liu, Yi, 2022. "International stock market risk contagion during the COVID-19 pandemic," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 45(C).
    7. Cheng, Tingting & Liu, Junli & Yao, Wenying & Zhao, Albert Bo, 2022. "The impact of COVID-19 pandemic on the volatility connectedness network of global stock market," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    8. Odusami, Babatunde O. & Mansur, Iqbal, 2022. "Economic fundamentals, policy responses, and state-level municipal bond sensitivity to COVID-19 prevalence," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    9. Choi, Sun-Yong, 2022. "Volatility spillovers among Northeast Asia and the US: Evidence from the global financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 179-193.
    10. Dash, Saumya Ranjan & Maitra, Debasish, 2022. "The COVID-19 pandemic uncertainty, investor sentiment, and global equity markets: Evidence from the time-frequency co-movements," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    11. Bouri, Elie & Harb, Etienne, 2022. "The size of good and bad volatility shocks does matter for spillovers," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    12. Ashok, Shruti & Corbet, Shaen & Dhingra, Deepika & Goodell, John W. & Kumar, Satish & Yadav, Miklesh Prasad, 2022. "Are energy markets informationally smarter than equity markets? Evidence from the COVID-19 experience," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PB).
    13. Ghazani, Majid Mirzaee & Khosravi, Reza & Caporin, Massimiliano, 2023. "Analyzing interconnection among selected commodities in the 2008 global financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    14. Neukirchen, Daniel & Engelhardt, Nils & Krause, Miguel & Posch, Peter N., 2022. "Firm efficiency and stock returns during the COVID-19 crisis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 44(C).
    15. Zhu, Pengfei & Tang, Yong & Wei, Yu & Lu, Tuantuan, 2021. "Multidimensional risk spillovers among crude oil, the US and Chinese stock markets: Evidence during the COVID-19 epidemic," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    16. Yu, Huaibing, 2022. "Does sustainable competitive advantage make a difference in stock performance during the Covid-19 pandemic?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 48(C).
    17. Catalin Florin Barnut, 2021. "The Influence Of The Covid 19 On The Bet And Wig20 Indices. Comparative Aspects," Oradea Journal of Business and Economics, University of Oradea, Faculty of Economics, vol. 6(1), pages 87-94, March.
    18. Runumi Das & Arabinda Debnath, 2022. "Analyzing the COVID-19 Pandemic Volatility Spillover Influence on the Collaboration of Foreign and Indian Stock Markets," Revista Finanzas y Politica Economica, Universidad Católica de Colombia, vol. 14(2), pages 411-452, June.
    19. Srilakshminarayana G, 2021. "Tail Behaviour of the Nifty-50 Stocks during Crises Periods," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 25(4), pages 115-151, December.
    20. Avik Das & Dr. Devanjali Nandi Das, 2022. "Understanding Volatility Spillover Relationship Among G7 Nations And India During Covid-19," Papers 2208.09148, arXiv.org.
    21. Hassan, M. Kabir & Kamran, Muhammad & Djajadikerta, Hadrian Geri & Choudhury, Tonmoy, 2022. "Search for safe havens and resilience to global financial volatility: Response of GCC equity indexes to GFC and Covid-19," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    22. Li, Zepei & Huang, Haizhen, 2023. "Challenges for volatility forecasts of US fossil energy spot markets during the COVID-19 crisis," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 31-45.
    23. Jakub Kubiczek & Marcin Tuszkiewicz, 2022. "Intraday Patterns of Liquidity on the Warsaw Stock Exchange before and after the Outbreak of the COVID-19 Pandemic," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 10(1), pages 1-16, February.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Mildly Explosive Behavior; Stock Market Crashes; COVID-19;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics

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