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Seasonal adjustment of daily data with CAMPLET

Author

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  • Barend Abeln
  • Jan P.A.M. Jacobs
  • Machiel Mulder

Abstract

In the last decade large data sets have become available, both in terms of the number of time series and with higher frequencies (weekly, daily and even higher). All series may suffer from seasonality, which hides other important fluctuations. Therefore time series are typically seasonally adjusted. However, standard seasonal adjustment methods cannot handle series with higher than monthly frequencies. Recently, Abeln et al. (2019) presented CAMPLET, a new seasonal adjustment method, which does not produce revisions when new observations become available. The aim of this paper is to show the attractiveness of CAMPLET for seasonal adjustment of daily time series. We apply CAMPLET to daily data on the gas system in the Netherlands. To quote this document: Au cours de la dernière décennie, de vastes ensembles de données sont devenus disponibles, tant en termes de nombre de séries chronologiques que de fréquences plus élevées (hebdomadaires, quotidiennes et même supérieures). Toutes les séries peuvent souffrir d'une saisonnalité, qui masque d'autres fluctuations importantes. C'est pourquoi les séries temporelles sont généralement désaisonnalisées. Cependant, les méthodes standard de désaisonnalisation ne peuvent pas traiter les séries dont la fréquence est supérieure au mois. Récemment, Abeln et al. (2019) ont présenté CAMPLET, une nouvelle méthode de désaisonnalisation, qui ne produit pas de révisions lorsque de nouvelles observations sont disponibles. L'objectif de cet article est de montrer l'attrait de CAMPLET pour l'ajustement saisonnier des séries temporelles quotidiennes. Nous appliquons CAMPLET à des données quotidiennes sur le réseau de gaz aux Pays-Bas. Pour citer ce document:

Suggested Citation

  • Barend Abeln & Jan P.A.M. Jacobs & Machiel Mulder, 2022. "Seasonal adjustment of daily data with CAMPLET," CIRANO Working Papers 2022s-06, CIRANO.
  • Handle: RePEc:cir:cirwor:2022s-06
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Barend Abeln & Jan P. A. M. Jacobs, 2023. "CAMPLET: Seasonal Adjustment Without Revisions," SpringerBriefs in Economics, in: Seasonal Adjustment Without Revisions, chapter 0, pages 7-29, Springer.
    2. Proietti, Tommaso & Pedregal, Diego J., 2023. "Seasonality in High Frequency Time Series," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 62-82.
    3. Schipperus, Ouren T. & Mulder, Machiel, 2015. "The effectiveness of policies to transform a gas-exporting country into a gas-transit country: The case of The Netherlands," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 117-127.
    4. Ghysels,Eric & Osborn,Denise R., 2001. "The Econometric Analysis of Seasonal Time Series," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521565882, January.
    5. Ollech Daniel, 2021. "Seasonal Adjustment of Daily Time Series," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 13(2), pages 235-264, July.
    6. Siem Jan Koopman & Marius Ooms, 2003. "Time Series Modelling of Daily Tax Revenues," Statistica Neerlandica, Netherlands Society for Statistics and Operations Research, vol. 57(4), pages 439-469, November.
    7. Ollech, Daniel, 2018. "Seasonal adjustment of daily time series," Discussion Papers 41/2018, Deutsche Bundesbank.
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    Cited by:

    1. Barend Abeln & Jan P. A. M. Jacobs, 2023. "COVID-19 and Seasonal Adjustment," SpringerBriefs in Economics, in: Seasonal Adjustment Without Revisions, chapter 0, pages 53-61, Springer.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    daily data; seasonal adjustment; calendar effect; gas system; the Netherlands; données quotidiennes; ajustement saisonnier; effet de calendrier; système de gaz; les Pays-Bas.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • Q47 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy Forecasting

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