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High Frequency Dynamics of the Exchange Rate in Chile

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  • Kevin Cowan
  • David Rappoport
  • Jorge Selaive

Abstract

We estimate a reduced form model for the daily dynamics of the nominal spot exchange rate in Chile. The model does reasonably well in explaining the long and short run dynamics for the peso-dollar exchange rate for the period 2001-2006. In addition, we extend the model to evaluate the effects of the foreign investment of pension funds, foreign exchange rate interventions by the Central Bank and other events whose effects on the exchange rate have policy implications. We find –in line with previous work conducted at the Central Bank - that the impact of Central Bank actions on the FX market seemed to be better channeled through public announcements. Moreover, we find that changes in the pension funds limits on foreign assets had significant, but small and transitory effects on the spot peso-dollar exchange rate.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Central Bank of Chile in its series Working Papers Central Bank of Chile with number 433.

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Date of creation: Nov 2007
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Handle: RePEc:chb:bcchwp:433

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  1. Fatum, Rasmus & Hutchison, Michael, 1999. "Is Intervention a Signal of Future Monetary Policy? Evidece from the Federal Funds Futures Market," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 31(1), pages 54-69, February.
  2. Hamid Faruqee, 1995. "Long-Run Determinants of the Real Exchange Rate: A Stock-Flow Perspective," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 42(1), pages 80-107, March.
  3. Chen, Yu-chin & Rogoff, Kenneth, 2003. "Commodity currencies," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(1), pages 133-160, May.
  4. Cai, Jun & Cheung, Yan-Leung & Lee, Raymond S. K. & Melvin, Michael, 2001. "'Once-in-a-generation' yen volatility in 1998: fundamentals, intervention, and order flow," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 20(3), pages 327-347, June.
  5. Rodrigo Caputo G. & Bernardo Dominichetti H., 2005. "Revisión Metodológica en el Cálculo del IPE e Implicancias sobre los Modelos de Serie de Tiempo Para el TCR," Notas de Investigación Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 8(1), pages 77-82, April.
  6. Jacob A. Bikker & Laura Spierdijk & Pieter Jelle van der Sluis, 2004. "Market Impact Costs of Institutional Equity Trades," DNB Working Papers 001, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
  7. Sebastian Edwards & Miguel A. Savastano, 1999. "Exchange Rates in Emerging Economies: What Do We Know? What Do We Need to Know?," NBER Working Papers 7228, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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Citations

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Cited by:
  1. Rodrigo Caputo & Marco Núñez & Rodrigo Valdés, 2007. "Exchange Rate Analysis in Practice," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 434, Central Bank of Chile.
  2. Gabriela Contreras M. & Alfredo Pistelli M. & Camila Sáez M., 2013. "Efecto de Intervenciones Cambiarias Recientes en Economías Emergentes," Notas de Investigación Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 16(1), pages 122-137, April.
  3. Ana María Abarca & Felipe Alarcón & Pablo Pincheira & Jorge Selaive, 2007. "Chilean Nominal Exchange Rate: Forecasting Based Upon Technical Analysis," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 425, Central Bank of Chile.
  4. Yi Wu, 2013. "What Explains Movements in the Peso/Dollar Exchange Rate?," IMF Working Papers 13/171, International Monetary Fund.
  5. repec:cml:incocp:1-11 is not listed on IDEAS
  6. Luis A. Ahumada & Álvaro García & Luis Opazo & Jorge Selaive, 2009. "Interbank Rate and the Liquidity of the Market," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 516, Central Bank of Chile.
  7. Ana María Abarca G. & Felipe Alarcón G. & Pablo Pincheira B. & Jorge Selaive C., 2007. "Nominal Exchange Rate in Chile: Predictions based on technical analysis," Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 10(2), pages 57-80, August.

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