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Differences between NZ and U.S. individual investor sentiment: More noise or more information?

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Abstract

In this study, we introduce a newly created sentiment index of individual investors in NZ constructed similar to the well-known sentiment index provided by the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) in the U.S. This unique setup allows us to compare different aspects of investors’ behaviour in both countries. We show that NZ market participants are less confident about the directional movement of the stock market, their expectations are more volatile and their distributions have fatter tails. By contrast, both bullish and bearish sentiment is more persistent among U.S. investors. Furthermore, our analysis of return predictability reveals that both groups of investors behave as noise traders. However, the results for NZ investors are stronger. Overall, our findings call for better financial education, particularly in the area of equity investing.

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  • Jędrzej Białkowski & Moritz Wagner & Xiaopeng Wei, 2023. "Differences between NZ and U.S. individual investor sentiment: More noise or more information?," Working Papers in Economics 23/11, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
    • Handle: RePEc:cbt:econwp:23/11
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    AAII sentiment index; Information traders; Noise traders; NZ sentiment index; Return predictability;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G18 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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