Advanced Search
MyIDEAS: Login to save this paper or follow this series

Quiebre estructural de la relación entre la política fiscal y el riesgo soberano en las economías emergentes: el caso colombiano

Contents:

Author Info

  • Juan Manuel Julio

    ()

  • Ignacio Lozano

    ()

  • Ligia Alba Melo

    ()

Abstract

En este trabajo se muestra que el EMBI-Colombia está determinado por el apetito por riesgo de los inversionistas internacionales y que su respuesta es no lineal y está influenciada por la postura fiscal del gobierno. Se encuentra también que la relación entre estas variables sufrió un cambio estructural favorable en la mitad de la década del 2000, que parece estar asociado a los mejores fundamentales macroeconómicos locales y al deterioro del entorno internacional. Finalmente, se concluye que el riesgo soberano mantiene una relación unidireccional con la devaluación nominal y la valorización anual del IGBC, sugiriendo que el EMBI aporta la información básica para valorar las perspectivas de los mercados financieros locales.

Download Info

If you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.
File URL: http://www.banrep.gov.co/docum/ftp/borra693.pdf
Download Restriction: no

Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Banco de la Republica de Colombia in its series Borradores de Economia with number 693.

as in new window
Length: 35
Date of creation: Feb 2012
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:bdr:borrec:693

Contact details of provider:
Postal: Cra 7 # 14-78 Piso 7
Phone: (57-1) 3431111
Fax: (57-1) 2841686
Email:
Web page: http://www.banrep.org/publicaciones/pub_borra.htm
More information through EDIRC

Related research

Keywords: Política fiscal; deuda soberana; análisis de riego; mercados financieros Classification JEL: E62; H63; D11; E44;

Other versions of this item:

Find related papers by JEL classification:

References

References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
as in new window
  1. Alejandro Izquierdo & Randall Romero & Ernesto Talvi, 2008. "Booms and Busts in Latin America: The Role of External Factors," Research Department Publications, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department 4569, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department.
  2. Thomas J. Sargent & Neil Wallace, 1981. "Some unpleasant monetarist arithmetic," Quarterly Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, issue Fall.
  3. Hansen, Lars Peter, 1982. "Large Sample Properties of Generalized Method of Moments Estimators," Econometrica, Econometric Society, Econometric Society, vol. 50(4), pages 1029-54, July.
  4. Olivier Blanchard, 2004. "Fiscal Dominance and Inflation Targeting: Lessons from Brazil," NBER Working Papers 10389, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

Citations

Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
as in new window

Cited by:
  1. luis Fernando Melo & Hernán Rincón, 2012. "Choques externos y precios de los activos en Latinoamérica antes y después de la quiebra de Lehman Brothers," BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA 009450, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA.
  2. Hernando Vargas & Andrés González & Ignacio Lozano, 2012. "Macroeconomic Effects of Structural Fiscal Policy Changes in Colombia," Borradores de Economia 691, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
  3. Ignacio Lozano & Ligia Alba Melo B. & Jorge Enrique Ramos F., 2012. "Flujos de capital y política fiscal en las economías emergentes de América Latina," Borradores de Economia 702, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
  4. Ligia Alba Melo B & Jorge Ramos F & Hector Zarate S, 2013. "Mercado de bonos soberanos y estabilidad financiera: Una aplicación de Gráficos Acíclicos Direccionados (GAD) y modelos SVAR," BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA 011099, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA.

Lists

This item is not listed on Wikipedia, on a reading list or among the top items on IDEAS.

Statistics

Access and download statistics

Corrections

When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bdr:borrec:693. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Camilo Millán).

If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.

If the full references list an item that is present in RePEc, but the system did not link to it, you can help with this form.

If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.