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¿No importa la cantidad de dinero?: "Inflation Targeting" y la teoría cuantitativa

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Author Info
Carlos Esteban Posada ()
Andrés Felipe García ()

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Abstract

La literatura referente a los modelos de inflación y política monetaria anti-inflacionaria del tipo denominado Inflation Targeting (IT) ha reforzado una opinión popular: que la inflación tiene poca o ninguna relación con el aumento de la cantidad de dinero. Esta opinión es contraria a una de las más viejas teorías económicas: la teoría cuantitativa del dinero (TCD). En las siguientes páginas se establece la relación entre un modelo básico de IT y la TCD, y se aclaran un caso de irrelevancia de la cantidad de dinero: el de la trampa de liquidez o caso keynesiano-radical. Este caso se contrapone a los otros casos, que sí son compatibles con la TCD. Por último, se reporta evidencia favorable a la hipótesis de pertinencia de la TCD para el caso colombiano reciente (1986: I 2005:III).

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Paper provided by Banco de la Republica de Colombia in its series Borradores de Economia with number 403.

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Related research
Keywords: dinero precios inflation targeting curva IS curva de Phillips tasa de interés teoría cuantitativa del dinero.

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
E40 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - General
E41 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Demand for Money
E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Wicksell, Knut, 1907. "The Influence of the Rate of Interest on Prices," History of Economic Thought Articles, McMaster University Archive for the History of Economic Thought, vol. 17, pages 213-220. [Downloadable!]
  2. Nelson, Edward, 2003. "The Future of Monetary Aggregates in Monetary Policy Analysis," CEPR Discussion Papers 3897, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  3. Jose De Gregorio, 2004. "Rapid Growth Of Monetary Aggregates And Inflation: The International Evidence," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 256, Central Bank of Chile. [Downloadable!]
  4. Aksoy, Yunus & Piskorski, Tomasz, 2006. "U.S. domestic money, inflation and output," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(2), pages 183-197, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  5. Thomas M. Humphrey, 1997. "Fisher and Wicksell on the quantity theory," Economic Quarterly, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, issue Fall, pages 71-90. [Downloadable!]
  6. Bernanke, Ben S & Blinder, Alan S, 1988. "Credit, Money, and Aggregate Demand," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 78(2), pages 435-39, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  7. Gerlach, Stefan & Svensson, Lars E. O., 2003. "Money and inflation in the euro area: A case for monetary indicators?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(8), pages 1649-1672, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  1. Carlos Esteban Posada & Camilo Morales J., . "La inflación y la política monetaria colombianas del período 1996-2006: una interpretación," Borradores de Economia 465, Banco de la Republica de Colombia. [Downloadable!]
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