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Present-biased Government, Creative Accounting and a Pitfall in Balanced Budget Rules

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  • Marcela De Castro-Valderrama

Abstract

I propose a general equilibrium model with a quasi-hyperbolic discounting government that optimally decides upon using creative accounting in order to evaluate a balanced budget rule and a debt rule. In that context, I find that a binding balanced budget rule could fail to properly constrain public overindebtedness when government uses creative accounting while a debt rule is effective, since targets are set on total public liabilities. Results suggest that a balanced budget fiscal rule can also deteriorate welfare due to the higher interest rates derived from doing operations under the line, implying future expenditure cuts that are harmful for households, who value public goods and services. A debt rule is also preferred for its capacity to reverse some welfare losses generated by the present-biased government. **** RESUMEN: En un modelo de equilibrio general con un gobierno que descuenta cuasi-hiperbólicamente se evalúan dos reglas fiscales. Los resultados sugieren que una regla fiscal sobre el balance activa y vinculante no garantiza acotar el crecimiento del endeudamiento público cuando el gobierno puede hacer trucos contables y puede generar mayores pérdidas de bienestar en la economía. Por el otro lado, una regla sobre la deuda es efectiva y logra recuperar parte de la pérdida de bienestar generada por el gobierno que descuenta cuasi-hiperbólicamente.

Suggested Citation

  • Marcela De Castro-Valderrama, 2021. "Present-biased Government, Creative Accounting and a Pitfall in Balanced Budget Rules," Borradores de Economia 1183, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
  • Handle: RePEc:bdr:borrec:1183
    DOI: 10.32468/be.1183
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    Cited by:

    1. Marcela De Castro-Valderrama & Nicolas Moreno-Arias & Juan Jose Ospina-Tejeiro, 2023. "Credibility and Bias: The Case for Implementing Both a Debt Anchor and a Balanced Budget Rule," IHEID Working Papers 09-2023, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Quasi-Hyperbolic Discounting; Creative Accounting; Balanced Budget Rule; Fiscal Policy; Public Overindebtness; Welfare Analysis; descuento cuasi-hiperbólico; Contabilidad Creativa; Regla Fiscal sobre el balance; Política Fiscal; Sobre endeudamiento público; Análisis de bienestar.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E61 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Policy Objectives; Policy Designs and Consistency; Policy Coordination
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • H61 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Budget; Budget Systems
    • H63 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Debt; Debt Management; Sovereign Debt
    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth

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