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Interest on Cash, Fundamental Value Process and Bubble Formation on Experimental Asset Markets

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  • Giovanni Giusti
  • Janet Hua Jiang
  • Yiping Xu

Abstract

We study the formation of price bubbles on experimental asset markets where cash earns interest. There are two main conclusions. The first is that paying positive interest on cash is ineffective in diminishing bubbles through the reducing-active-participation channel. The second is that the fundamental value generating process plays a critical role in the formation of asset bubbles in the laboratory. In particular, bubbles tend to occur whenever there is a conflict between the sign of the time trend of the fundamental value and the sign of the expected dividend payment. This explanation is consistent with all existing studies that analyze the role of fundamental value processes in inducing bubbles on experimental asset markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Giovanni Giusti & Janet Hua Jiang & Yiping Xu, 2014. "Interest on Cash, Fundamental Value Process and Bubble Formation on Experimental Asset Markets," Staff Working Papers 14-18, Bank of Canada.
  • Handle: RePEc:bca:bocawp:14-18
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    Cited by:

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    2. Shinichi Hirota & Juergen Huber & Thomas Stock & Shyam Sunder, 2018. "Speculation and Price Indeterminacy in Financial Markets: An Experimental Study," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 2134R, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, revised Apr 2020.
    3. Matthias Weber & John Duffy & Arthur Schram, 2018. "An Experimental Study of Bond Market Pricing," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 73(4), pages 1857-1892, August.
    4. John Duffy & Janet Hua Jiang & Huan Xie, 2019. "Experimental Asset Markets with an Indefinite Horizon," Cahiers de recherche 08-2019, Centre interuniversitaire de recherche en économie quantitative, CIREQ.
    5. Guidon Fenig & Mariya Mileva & Luba Petersen, 2013. "Leave the bubble alone!: Deflating asset price bubbles in an experimental macroeconomy," Discussion Papers dp16-10, Department of Economics, Simon Fraser University, revised Aug 2016.
    6. Volkova, O., 2018. "Fair Value in Finance: Fifty Shades of Fairness," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 39(3), pages 85-109.
    7. Owen Powell & Natalia Shestakova, 2017. "Experimental asset markets: behavior and bubbles," Chapters, in: Morris Altman (ed.), Handbook of Behavioural Economics and Smart Decision-Making, chapter 21, pages 375-391, Edward Elgar Publishing.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Asset Pricing; Financial markets; Financial stability;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C90 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Design of Experiments - - - General
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)

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