IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/2308.02914.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Anomaly Detection in Global Financial Markets with Graph Neural Networks and Nonextensive Entropy

Author

Listed:
  • Kleyton da Costa

Abstract

Anomaly detection is a challenging task, particularly in systems with many variables. Anomalies are outliers that statistically differ from the analyzed data and can arise from rare events, malfunctions, or system misuse. This study investigated the ability to detect anomalies in global financial markets through Graph Neural Networks (GNN) considering an uncertainty scenario measured by a nonextensive entropy. The main findings show that the complex structure of highly correlated assets decreases in a crisis, and the number of anomalies is statistically different for nonextensive entropy parameters considering before, during, and after crisis.

Suggested Citation

  • Kleyton da Costa, 2023. "Anomaly Detection in Global Financial Markets with Graph Neural Networks and Nonextensive Entropy," Papers 2308.02914, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2023.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2308.02914
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/2308.02914
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Adriano Koshiyama & Stefano B. Blumberg & Nick Firoozye & Philip Treleaven & Sebastian Flennerhag, 2022. "QuantNet: transferring learning across trading strategies," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(6), pages 1071-1090, June.
    2. Maasoumi, Esfandiar & Racine, Jeff, 2002. "Entropy and predictability of stock market returns," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 107(1-2), pages 291-312, March.
    3. Kao Ge & Jian-Qiang Zhao & Yan-Yong Zhao, 2022. "GR-GNN: Gated Recursion-Based Graph Neural Network Algorithm," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(7), pages 1-13, April.
    4. Qi Lin & Shuo Yu & Ke Sun & Wenhong Zhao & Osama Alfarraj & Amr Tolba & Feng Xia, 2022. "Robust Graph Neural Networks via Ensemble Learning," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(8), pages 1-14, April.
    5. K. Ahn & D. Lee & S. Sohn & B. Yang, 2019. "Stock market uncertainty and economic fundamentals: an entropy-based approach," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(7), pages 1151-1163, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Jiacheng Hou & Tianhao Tao & Haoye Lu & Amiya Nayak, 2023. "Intelligent Caching with Graph Neural Network-Based Deep Reinforcement Learning on SDN-Based ICN," Future Internet, MDPI, vol. 15(8), pages 1-20, July.
    2. Gruber, Lutz F. & West, Mike, 2017. "Bayesian online variable selection and scalable multivariate volatility forecasting in simultaneous graphical dynamic linear models," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 3(C), pages 3-22.
    3. Andrey Shternshis & Piero Mazzarisi & Stefano Marmi, 2022. "Efficiency of the Moscow Stock Exchange before 2022," Papers 2207.10476, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2022.
    4. Salois, Matthew & Moss, Charles, 2010. "An Information Approach to the Dynamics in Farm Income: Implications for Farmland Markets," MPRA Paper 26850, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Piotr Fiszeder & Witold Orzeszko, 2012. "Nonparametric Verification of GARCH-Class Models for Selected Polish Exchange Rates and Stock Indices," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 62(5), pages 430-449, November.
    6. Bariviera, Aurelio F. & Font-Ferrer, Alejandro & Sorrosal-Forradellas, M. Teresa & Rosso, Osvaldo A., 2019. "An information theory perspective on the informational efficiency of gold price," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    7. Dionisio, Andreia & Menezes, Rui & Mendes, Diana & Vidigal Da Silva, Jacinto, 2007. "Nonlinear Dynamics Within Macroeconomic Factors And Stock Market In Portugal, 1993-2003," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 7(2), pages 57-70.
    8. Stefania D'Amico, 2004. "Density Estimation and Combination under Model Ambiguity," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004 273, Society for Computational Economics.
    9. Tseng, Chih-Hsiung & Cheng, Sheng-Tzong & Wang, Yi-Hsien & Peng, Jin-Tang, 2008. "Artificial neural network model of the hybrid EGARCH volatility of the Taiwan stock index option prices," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 387(13), pages 3192-3200.
    10. Luca Bagnato & Valerio Potì & Maria Zoia, 2015. "The role of orthogonal polynomials in adjusting hyperpolic secant and logistic distributions to analyse financial asset returns," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 56(4), pages 1205-1234, November.
    11. Kang, Yanfei & Hyndman, Rob J. & Smith-Miles, Kate, 2017. "Visualising forecasting algorithm performance using time series instance spaces," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 345-358.
    12. Kwang-il Choe & Joshua Krausz & Kiseok Nam, 2011. "Technical trading rules for nonlinear dynamics of stock returns: evidence from the G-7 stock markets," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 36(3), pages 323-353, April.
    13. Vishwas Kukreti & Hirdesh K. Pharasi & Priya Gupta & Sunil Kumar, 2020. "A perspective on correlation-based financial networks and entropy measures," Papers 2004.09448, arXiv.org.
    14. Ryu, Inug & Jang, Hanwool & Kim, Dongshin & Ahn, Kwangwon, 2021. "Market Efficiency of US REITs: A Revisit," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
    15. Ke Sun & Shuo Yu & Ciyuan Peng & Yueru Wang & Osama Alfarraj & Amr Tolba & Feng Xia, 2022. "Relational Structure-Aware Knowledge Graph Representation in Complex Space," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-16, June.
    16. Casarin, Roberto & Costola, Michele, 2019. "Structural changes in large economic datasets: A nonparametric homogeneity test," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 176(C), pages 55-59.
    17. Esfandiar Maasoumi & Melinda Pitts & Ke Wu, 2014. "The Gap between the Conditional Wage Distributions of Incumbents and the Newly Hired Employees: Decomposition and Uniform Ordering," Advances in Econometrics, in: Essays in Honor of Peter C. B. Phillips, volume 33, pages 587-612, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
    18. Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Dene Hurley & Román Ferrer, 2021. "U.S. stock prices and macroeconomic fundamentals: Fresh evidence using the quantile ARDL approach," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(3), pages 3569-3587, July.
    19. Busu, Cristian & Busu, Mihail, 2019. "Modeling the predictive power of the singular value decomposition-based entropy. Empirical evidence from the Dow Jones Global Titans 50 Index," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 534(C).
    20. Matilla-García, Mariano & Marín, Manuel Ruiz, 2010. "A new test for chaos and determinism based on symbolic dynamics," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 76(3), pages 600-614, December.

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2308.02914. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.