IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/1407.0256.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

To sigmoid-based functional description of the volatility smile

Author

Listed:
  • Andrey Itkin

Abstract

We propose a new static parameterization of the implied volatility surface which is constructed by using polynomials of sigmoid functions combined with some other terms. This parameterization is flexible enough to fit market implied volatilities which demonstrate smile or skew. An arbitrage-free calibration algorithm is considered that constructs the implied volatility surface as a grid in the strike-expiration space and guarantees a lack of arbitrage at every node of this grid. We also demonstrate how to construct an arbitrage-free interpolation and extrapolation in time, as well as build a local volatility and implied pdf surfaces. Asymptotic behavior of this parameterization is discussed, as well as results on stability of the calibrated parameters are presented. Numerical examples show robustness of the proposed approach in building all these surfaces as well as demonstrate a better quality of the fit as compared with some known models.

Suggested Citation

  • Andrey Itkin, 2014. "To sigmoid-based functional description of the volatility smile," Papers 1407.0256, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2014.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1407.0256
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/1407.0256
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Rama Cont & Jose da Fonseca, 2002. "Dynamics of implied volatility surfaces," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 2(1), pages 45-60.
    2. Toby Daglish & John Hull & Wulin Suo, 2007. "Volatility surfaces: theory, rules of thumb, and empirical evidence," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 7(5), pages 507-524.
    3. Matthias Fengler & Wolfgang Härdle & Christophe Villa, 2003. "The Dynamics of Implied Volatilities: A Common Principal Components Approach," Review of Derivatives Research, Springer, vol. 6(3), pages 179-202, October.
    4. Jim Gatheral & Antoine Jacquier, 2014. "Arbitrage-free SVI volatility surfaces," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(1), pages 59-71, January.
    5. Robert Tompkins, 2001. "Implied volatility surfaces: uncovering regularities for options on financial futures," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 7(3), pages 198-230.
    6. Bo Zhao & Stewart Hodges, 2013. "Parametric modeling of implied smile functions: a generalized SVI model," Review of Derivatives Research, Springer, vol. 16(1), pages 53-77, April.
    7. Roger W. Lee, 2004. "The Moment Formula For Implied Volatility At Extreme Strikes," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 14(3), pages 469-480, July.
    8. Stefano Ciliberti & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud & Marc Potters, 2008. "Smile dynamics -- a theory of the implied leverage effect," Papers 0809.3375, arXiv.org.
    9. Panayiotis Andreou & Chris Charalambous & Spiros Martzoukos, 2014. "Assessing the performance of symmetric and asymmetric implied volatility functions," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 42(3), pages 373-397, April.
    10. Borovkova, Svetlana & Permana, Ferry J., 2009. "Implied volatility in oil markets," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 53(6), pages 2022-2039, April.
    11. Jacinto Marabel Romo, 2014. "Dynamics of the implied volatility surface. Theory and empirical evidence," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(10), pages 1829-1837, October.
    12. Alexey Medvedev, 2008. "Implied Volatility at Expiration," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 08-04, Swiss Finance Institute.
    13. Carr, Peter & Madan, Dilip B., 2005. "A note on sufficient conditions for no arbitrage," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 2(3), pages 125-130, September.
    14. Heston, Steven L, 1993. "A Closed-Form Solution for Options with Stochastic Volatility with Applications to Bond and Currency Options," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 6(2), pages 327-343.
    15. Ledoit, Olivier & Santa-Clara, Pedro & Yan, Shu, 2002. "Relative Pricing of Options with Stochastic Volatility," University of California at Los Angeles, Anderson Graduate School of Management qt7jp8f42t, Anderson Graduate School of Management, UCLA.
    16. Matthias Fengler, 2009. "Arbitrage-free smoothing of the implied volatility surface," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(4), pages 417-428.
    17. Jim Gatheral & Antoine Jacquier, 2011. "Convergence of Heston to SVI," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(8), pages 1129-1132.
    18. Peter Carr & Travis Fisher & Johannes Ruf, 2012. "Why are quadratic normal volatility models analytically tractable?," Papers 1202.6187, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2013.
    19. Martin le Roux, 2007. "A Long-Term Model of the Dynamics of the S&P500 Implied Volatility Surface," North American Actuarial Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(4), pages 61-75.
    20. Bernard Dumas & Jeff Fleming & Robert E. Whaley, 1998. "Implied Volatility Functions: Empirical Tests," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 53(6), pages 2059-2106, December.
    21. Kotzé, Antonie & Labuschagne, Coenraad C.A. & Nair, Merell L. & Padayachi, Nadine, 2013. "Arbitrage-free implied volatility surfaces for options on single stock futures," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 380-399.
    22. Sanjay Sehgal & N. Vijayakumar, 2008. "Determinants of Implied Volatility Function on the Nifty Index Options Market: Evidence from India," Asian Academy of Management Journal of Accounting and Finance (AAMJAF), Penerbit Universiti Sains Malaysia, vol. 4(1), pages 45-69.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. P. Carr & A. Itkin, 2021. "An Expanded Local Variance Gamma Model," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 57(4), pages 949-987, April.
    2. Andrey Itkin & Alexander Lipton, 2016. "Filling the gaps smoothly," Papers 1608.05145, arXiv.org.
    3. Andrey Itkin, 2020. "Geometric Local Variance Gamma Model," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Fitting Local Volatility Analytic and Numerical Approaches in Black-Scholes and Local Variance Gamma Models, chapter 6, pages 137-173, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    4. Christian Bayer & Blanka Horvath & Aitor Muguruza & Benjamin Stemper & Mehdi Tomas, 2019. "On deep calibration of (rough) stochastic volatility models," Papers 1908.08806, arXiv.org.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Cristian Homescu, 2011. "Implied Volatility Surface: Construction Methodologies and Characteristics," Papers 1107.1834, arXiv.org.
    2. Pascal François & Rémi Galarneau‐Vincent & Geneviève Gauthier & Frédéric Godin, 2022. "Venturing into uncharted territory: An extensible implied volatility surface model," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(10), pages 1912-1940, October.
    3. Samuel N. Cohen & Christoph Reisinger & Sheng Wang, 2021. "Arbitrage-free neural-SDE market models," Papers 2105.11053, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2021.
    4. Hirbod Assa & Mostafa Pouralizadeh & Abdolrahim Badamchizadeh, 2019. "Sound Deposit Insurance Pricing Using a Machine Learning Approach," Risks, MDPI, vol. 7(2), pages 1-18, April.
    5. Antonie Kotzé & Rudolf Oosthuizen & Edson Pindza, 2015. "Implied and Local Volatility Surfaces for South African Index and Foreign Exchange Options," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 8(1), pages 1-40, January.
    6. Fengler, Matthias R. & Härdle, Wolfgang & Mammen, Enno, 2003. "Implied volatility string dynamics," SFB 373 Discussion Papers 2003,54, Humboldt University of Berlin, Interdisciplinary Research Project 373: Quantification and Simulation of Economic Processes.
    7. Wang, Ximei & Zhao, Yanlong & Bao, Ying, 2019. "Arbitrage-free conditions for implied volatility surface by Delta," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 819-834.
    8. Xu, Wei & Šević, Aleksandar & Šević, Željko, 2022. "Implied volatility surface construction for commodity futures options traded in China," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    9. Sebastiano Vitali & Miloš Kopa & Gabriele Giana, 2023. "Implied volatility smoothing at COVID-19 times," Computational Management Science, Springer, vol. 20(1), pages 1-42, December.
    10. Andrew Na & Meixin Zhang & Justin Wan, 2023. "Computing Volatility Surfaces using Generative Adversarial Networks with Minimal Arbitrage Violations," Papers 2304.13128, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2023.
    11. Beer, Simone & Braun, Alexander, 2022. "Market-consistent valuation of natural catastrophe risk," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    12. Miloš Kopa & Sebastiano Vitali & Tomáš Tichý & Radek Hendrych, 2017. "Implied volatility and state price density estimation: arbitrage analysis," Computational Management Science, Springer, vol. 14(4), pages 559-583, October.
    13. H. Peter Boswijk & Roger J. A. Laeven & Evgenii Vladimirov, 2022. "Estimating Option Pricing Models Using a Characteristic Function-Based Linear State Space Representation," Papers 2210.06217, arXiv.org.
    14. Vedant Choudhary & Sebastian Jaimungal & Maxime Bergeron, 2023. "FuNVol: A Multi-Asset Implied Volatility Market Simulator using Functional Principal Components and Neural SDEs," Papers 2303.00859, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2023.
    15. Matthias Fengler & Wolfgang Härdle & Enno Mammen, 2005. "A Dynamic Semiparametric Factor Model for Implied Volatility String Dynamics," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2005-020, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
    16. Wenyong Zhang & Lingfei Li & Gongqiu Zhang, 2021. "A Two-Step Framework for Arbitrage-Free Prediction of the Implied Volatility Surface," Papers 2106.07177, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
    17. Jim Gatheral & Antoine Jacquier, 2014. "Arbitrage-free SVI volatility surfaces," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(1), pages 59-71, January.
    18. Martin Schweizer & Johannes Wissel, 2008. "Arbitrage-free market models for option prices: the multi-strike case," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 12(4), pages 469-505, October.
    19. Tahar Ferhati, 2020. "Robust Calibration For SVI Model Arbitrage Free," Working Papers hal-02490029, HAL.
    20. Jan Maruhn & Morten Nalholm & Matthias Fengler, 2011. "Static hedges for reverse barrier options with robustness against skew risk: an empirical analysis," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(5), pages 711-727.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C6 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling
    • C61 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis
    • G17 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Financial Forecasting and Simulation

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1407.0256. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.