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COVID-19 Working Paper: The Effects of COVID-19 on Food Sales

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  • Dong, Xiao
  • Zeballos, Eliana

Abstract

This article investigates the effects of economic recessions and changes in local economic conditions on the growth of food-at-home and food-away-from-home sales at the county level and estimates the likely impacts of the COVID-19-induced recession on food sales. On average, we show the recessionary effects of COVID-19 are likely to increase the growth of food-at-home sales by 1 percent and decrease the growth of food-away-from-home sales by 0.9 percent. These results indicate the recessionary effects of COVID-19 on food sales are small compared to the pandemic and public health effects of COVID-19 on food sales.

Suggested Citation

  • Dong, Xiao & Zeballos, Eliana, 2021. "COVID-19 Working Paper: The Effects of COVID-19 on Food Sales," USDA Miscellaneous 309615, United States Department of Agriculture.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:usdami:309615
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.309615
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Kumcu, Aylin & Kaufman, Phillip R., 2011. "Food Spending Adjustments During Recessionary Times," Amber Waves:The Economics of Food, Farming, Natural Resources, and Rural America, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service, pages 1-8.
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    Cited by:

    1. McLaughlin, Patrick W. & Stevens, Alexander & Dong, Xiao & Chelius, Carolyn & Marchesi, Keenan & MacLachlan, Matthew, 2022. "COVID-19 Working Paper National Trends in Food Retail Sales During the COVID-19 Pandemic: Findings from information Resources, Inc. (IRI) Retail-Based Scanner Data," USDA Miscellaneous 333527, United States Department of Agriculture.
    2. Marchesi, Keenan & McLaughlin, Patrick W, 2022. "COVID-19 Working Paper: The Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on Food-Away-From-Home Spending," Administrative Publications 327337, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    3. Baldwin, Katherine & Williams, Brian & Tsiboe, Francis & Effland, Anne & Turner, Dylan & Pratt, Bryan & Jones, Jordan & Toossi, Saied & Hodges, Leslie, 2023. "U.S. Agricultural Policy Review, 2021," USDA Miscellaneous 333549, United States Department of Agriculture.
    4. Marchesi, Keenan & McLaughlin, Patrick W., 2022. "COVID-19 Working Paper: The Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on Food-Away-From-Home Spending," USDA Miscellaneous 323863, United States Department of Agriculture.
    5. Kuan-Ming Huang & Ana Claudia Sant’Anna & Xiaoli Etienne, 2021. "How did Covid-19 impact US household foods? an analysis six months in," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 16(9), pages 1-17, September.

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