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Can We Feed the Animals? Origins and Implications of Rising Meat Demand

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Author Info
Keyzer, Michiel
Merbis, Max
Pavel, Ferdinand

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Abstract

The paper argues that current long-term projections of global meat and feed demand may underestimate future consumption patterns for mainly two reasons. First, they do not explicitly consider increased demand for protein foods of animal origin with rising incomes in some developing contries, and second they do not allow for changes in livestock technology, in particular feed demand. We then project the impact of both mechanisms to show the empirical relevance of our comments and suggest ready-to-use tools to consider them within standard projection models.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by European Association of Agricultural Economists in its series 2002 International Congress, August 28-31, 2002, Zaragoza, Spain with number 24955.

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Date of creation: 2002
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Handle: RePEc:ags:eaae02:24955

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Related research
Keywords: Agricultural outlook; income growth; piecewise linear regression; meat and feed demand; Demand and Price Analysis;

References listed on IDEAS
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  1. Babcock, Bruce A. & Beghin, John C. & Fabiosa, Jay & de Cara, Stephane & El-Obeid, Amani & Fang, Cheng & Fuller, Frank & Hart, Chad & Isik, Murat & Matthey, Holger & Saak, Alexander & Kovarik, Karen &, 2002. "FAPRI 2002 World Agricultural Outlook," Staff Reports 32051, Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI). [Downloadable!]
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  2. Samarendu Mohanty & Nikos Alexandratos & Jelle Bruinsma, 1998. "Long-Term Food Outlook for India, The," Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) Publications 98-tr38, Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) at Iowa State University. [Downloadable!]
  3. Bhalla, G. S. & Hazell, P. B. R. & Kerr, John M., 1999. "Prospects for India's cereal supply and demand to 2020:," 2020 vision briefs 63, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). [Downloadable!]
  4. Falck-Zepeda, Jose Benjamin & Traxler, Greg & Nelson, Robert G, 2000. " Surplus Distribution from the Introduction of a Biotechnology Innovation," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, American Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 82(2), pages 360-69, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Bhalla, G. S. & Hazell, P. B. R. & Kerr, John M., 1999. "Prospects for India's cereal supply and demand to 2020:," 2020 vision discussion papers 29, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). [Downloadable!]
  6. Deininger, Klaus & Squire, Lyn, 1996. "A New Data Set Measuring Income Inequality," World Bank Economic Review, Oxford University Press, vol. 10(3), pages 565-91, September.
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