The paper argues that current long-term projections of global meat and feed demand may underestimate future consumption patterns for mainly two reasons. First, they do not explicitly consider increased demand for protein foods of animal origin with rising incomes in some developing contries, and second they do not allow for changes in livestock technology, in particular feed demand. We then project the impact of both mechanisms to show the empirical relevance of our comments and suggest ready-to-use tools to consider them within standard projection models.
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Babcock, Bruce A. & Beghin, John C. & Fabiosa, Jay & de Cara, Stephane & El-Obeid, Amani & Fang, Cheng & Fuller, Frank & Hart, Chad & Isik, Murat & Matthey, Holger & Saak, Alexander & Kovarik, Karen &, 2002.
"FAPRI 2002 World Agricultural Outlook,"
Staff Reports
32051, Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI).
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
Babcock, Bruce A. & Beghin, John C. & Mohanty, Samarendu & Fuller, Frank & Fabiosa, Jay & Kaus, Phillip & Fang, Cheng & Hart, Chad & Kovarik, Karen & Womack, Abner W. & Young, Robert E., II & Suhler, , 2000.
"FAPRI 2000 World Agricultural Outlook,"
Staff Reports
32045, Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI).
[Downloadable!]
Babcock, Bruce A. & Beghin, John C. & Mohanty, Samarendu & Fuller, Frank H. & Fabiosa, Jacinto F. & Kaus, Phillip & Fang, Cheng & Hart, Chad E. & Kovarik, Karen P. & FAPRI Staff, University of Missour, 2004.
"FAPRI 2000 World Agricultural Outlook,"
Staff General Research Papers
11403, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
Babcock, Bruce A. & Beghin, John C. & Fabiosa, Jacinto F. & De Cara, Stephane & Elobeid, Amani & Fang, Cheng & Fuller, Frank H. & Hart, Chad E. & Isik, Murat & Matthey, Holger & Saak, Alexander & Kova, 2004.
"FAPRI 2002 World Agricultural Outlook,"
Staff General Research Papers
11400, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]