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The relationship between trade and price volatility in the Mexican and US maize markets

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  • Araujo-Enciso, Sergio Rene

Abstract

The supply of maize in the Mexican market depends to a large extent from the US imports which represent a large share of the domestic consumption. Furthermore imports exhibit a seasonal pattern, and peaks are often found close to low levels of domestic production and stocks. The present research suggests that there is a link between imports and prices volatility. Below a threshold value, imports and volatility are not related, but beyond the threshold it is volatility the variable driving imports. From the results one can argue that imports have served as a measure to stabilize prices when the domestic supply is scarce.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by European Association of Agricultural Economists in its series 123rd Seminar, February 23-24, 2012, Dublin, Ireland with number 122544.

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Date of creation: 23 Feb 2012
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Handle: RePEc:ags:eaa123:122544

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Related research

Keywords: Volatility; Maize; Imports; Mexico; Risk and Uncertainty; Q11; Q17;

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  1. Plourde, André & Watkins, G. C., 1998. "Crude oil prices between 1985 and 1994: how volatile in relation to other commodities?," Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 20(3), pages 245-262, September.
  2. Lo, Ming Chien & Zivot, Eric, 2001. "Threshold Cointegration And Nonlinear Adjustment To The Law Of One Price," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 5(04), pages 533-576, September.
  3. Marsh, John M., 2007. "Cross-Sector Relationships Between the Corn Feed Grains and Livestock and Poultry Economies," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 32(01), April.
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