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Jadis et Naguère, la vision des crises financières dans l’histoire selon Reinhart et Rogoff

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  • Antoine Parent

    (Université Nancy 2, BETA CNRS UMR 7522 et Association Française de Cliométrie (AFC))

Abstract

This paper analyzes how economic history and cliometrics can improve our understanding of the financial crises. We discuss the contributions of authors like Reinhart and Rogoff, Bordo and Eichengreen. According to Reinhart and Rogoff the recent crisis is similar in many aspects to former financial crises. Therefore, this time is not different. This view contradicts Bordo and Eicheingreen?s vision according to which crises have become more severe and more frequent since 1973. However, we need history to understand recent economic events, as argued by Flandreau and Zumer. Regarding past crises both economists and policymakers tried to understand the role of debt and risk default in the triggering of financial crises. Classification JEL : B20, B31, E65

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Paper provided by Association Française de Cliométrie (AFC) in its series Working Papers with number 11-09.

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Length: 13 pages
Date of creation: 2011
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Handle: RePEc:afc:wpaper:11-09

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  1. Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2008. "Is the 2007 U.S. Sub-Prime Financial Crisis So Different? An International Historical Comparison," NBER Working Papers 13761, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  2. Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2010. "Growth in a Time of Debt," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 100(2), pages 573-78, May.
  3. Reinhart, Carmen M. & Rogoff, Kenneth S., 2009. "The Aftermath of Financial Crises," Scholarly Articles 11129155, Harvard University Department of Economics.
  4. Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2014. "This Time is Different: A Panoramic View of Eight Centuries of Financial Crises," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 15(2), pages 1065-1188, November.
  5. Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2009. "This Time Is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly," Economics Books, Princeton University Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 8973.
  6. Michael D. Bordo & Antu P. Murshid, 2000. "Are Financial Crises Becoming Increasingly More Contagious? What is the Historical Evidence on Contagion?," NBER Working Papers 7900, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  7. Oskar Morgenstern, 1959. "International Financial Transactions and Business Cycles," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number morg59-1, octubre-d.
  8. Willard Long Thorp, 1926. "Business Annals: Prefatory Note," NBER Chapters, in: Business Annals, pages 101-106 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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