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Short-term effects of forced displacement on host communities: evidence from the Rohingya crisis

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  • Juan Segnana
  • José Joaquín Endara

Abstract

This paper provides detailed evidence on the short-term economic effects of the large and localized Rohingya migratory shock on the Bangladeshi host population. The analysis shows the welfare impact of changes in prices of goods on the host community due to the large population influx. Rice prices are significantly higher short after the population shock started but this does not extend to other food items. Rice is a prevalent staple in the consumption bundle of hosts, rice inflation underlies a great deal of variations in welfare. We have evidence of distributional effects due to variation in relative prices. We register large price variations for the main items consumed by Rohingyas and hosts right after the influx began. Our results show an immediate and temporary welfare loss for the bottom quintile which was eliminated and reversed due to a large food aid provided by the World Food Program (WFP) together with highly integrated markets. We consider humanitarian food aid in contexts alike crucial as a smoothing mechanism of demand-pull inflation.

Suggested Citation

  • Juan Segnana & José Joaquín Endara, 2020. "Short-term effects of forced displacement on host communities: evidence from the Rohingya crisis," Asociación Argentina de Economía Política: Working Papers 4410, Asociación Argentina de Economía Política.
    • Handle: RePEc:aep:anales:4410
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Consumption; Food aid; Forced migration; Forced displacement; Host communities; Prices; Rohingyas; Welfare;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D12 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Consumer Economics: Empirical Analysis
    • F22 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Migration
    • O15 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Economic Development: Human Resources; Human Development; Income Distribution; Migration
    • P46 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Other Economic Systems - - - Consumer Economics; Health; Education and Training; Welfare, Income, Wealth, and Poverty
    • R2 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis

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