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Unraveling the unsustainability spiral in sub-Saharan Africa: an agent based modelling approach

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Author Info

  • Guido van Hofwegen

    ()
    (Wageningen International, Wageningen University)

  • Gertjan A. Becx

    (Wageningen International, Wageningen University)

  • Joep A. van den Broek

    (Wageningen International, Wageningen University)

  • Niek B.J. Koning

    (Wageningen International, Wageningen University)

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    Abstract

    Sub-Saharan Africa is trapped in a complex unsustainability spiral with demographic, biophysical, technical and socio-political dimensions. Unravelling the spiral is vital to perceive which policy actions are needed to reverse it and initiate sustainable pro-poor growth. The article presents an evolutionary, multi-agent modelling framework that marries a socio-ecological approach to a world system perspective and takes agriculture as the engine for sustainable development in Sub-Saharan Africa. A number of possibilities for empirical validation are proposed.

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    File URL: http://indecs.eu/2007/indecs2007-pp112-137.pdf
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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Croatian Interdisciplinary Society Provider Homepage: http://indecs.eu in its journal Interdisciplinary Description of Complex Systems.

    Volume (Year): 5 (2007)
    Issue (Month): 2 ()
    Pages: 112-137

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    Handle: RePEc:zna:indecs:v:5:y:2007:i:2:p:112-137

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    Related research

    Keywords: multi-agent systems; development; poverty trap; degradation; social capital; sub-Saharan Africa;

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    2. R. L. Voortman & B. G. J. S. Sonneveld & M. A. Keyzer, 2000. "African Land Ecology: Opportunities and Constraints for Agricultural Development," CID Working Papers 37, Center for International Development at Harvard University.
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    12. Andre, Catherine & Platteau, Jean-Philippe, 1998. "Land relations under unbearable stress: Rwanda caught in the Malthusian trap," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 1-47, January.
    13. Kenneth L. Sokoloff & Stanley L. Engerman, 2000. "Institutions, Factor Endowments, and Paths of Development in the New World," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 14(3), pages 217-232, Summer.
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    15. Tesfatsion, Leigh S., 2002. "Agent-Based Computational Economics: Growing Economies from the Bottom Up," Staff General Research Papers 5075, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
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