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Linear versus nonlinear causalityfor dax companies

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Author Info

  • Henfryk Gurgul

    ()
    (Department of Economics and Econometrics, Faculty of Management, University of Science and Technology, Poland)

  • lukasz Lach

    ()
    (Department of Economics and Econometrics, Faculty of Management, University of Science and Technology, Poland)

Abstract

This study provides empirical evidence of the joint dynamics between stock returns and trading volume using stock data for DAX companies. Our research confirms the hypothesis that traditional linear causality tests often fail to detect some kinds of nonlinear relations, while nonlinear tests do not. In many cases, the test results obtained by use of empirical data and simulation confirm a bidirectional causal relationship, while linear tests did not detect such causality at all.

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File URL: http://www.ioz.pwr.wroc.pl/boid/artykuly/3-2009/art-3-gurgul.pdf
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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Wroclaw University of Technology, Institute of Organization and Management in its journal Operations Research and Decisions.

Volume (Year): 3 (2009)
Issue (Month): ()
Pages: 27-46

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Handle: RePEc:wut:journl:v:3:y:2009:p:27-46

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Web page: http://www.ioz.pwr.wroc.pl/
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Related research

Keywords: DAX companies; stock returns; trading volume; linear and nonlinear causality; simulation;

References

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  1. Diks, C.G.H. & Panchenko, V., 2004. "A new statistic and practical guidelines for nonparametric Granger causality testing," CeNDEF Working Papers 04-11, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance.
  2. Hiemstra, Craig & Jones, Jonathan D, 1994. " Testing for Linear and Nonlinear Granger Causality in the Stock Price-Volume Relation," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 49(5), pages 1639-64, December.
  3. Phillips, P.C.B., 1986. "Understanding spurious regressions in econometrics," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 311-340, December.
  4. Granger, C. W. J., 1981. "Some properties of time series data and their use in econometric model specification," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 16(1), pages 121-130, May.
  5. Asimakopoulos, Ioannis & Ayling, David & Mansor Mahmood, Wan, 2000. "Non-linear Granger causality in the currency futures returns," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 68(1), pages 25-30, July.
  6. Gallant, A Ronald & Rossi, Peter E & Tauchen, George, 1992. "Stock Prices and Volume," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 5(2), pages 199-242.
  7. Granger, C. W. J. & Newbold, P., 1974. "Spurious regressions in econometrics," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 2(2), pages 111-120, July.
  8. Granger, C W J, 1969. "Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-Spectral Methods," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 37(3), pages 424-38, July.
  9. Henryk Gurgul & Paweł Majdosz & Roland Mestel, 2007. "Price–volume relations of DAX companies," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer, vol. 21(3), pages 353-379, September.
  10. Lee, Bong-Soo & Rui, Oliver M., 2002. "The dynamic relationship between stock returns and trading volume: Domestic and cross-country evidence," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 26(1), pages 51-78, January.
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Citations

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Cited by:
  1. Lukasz Lach, 2011. "Impact of hard coal usage for metal production on economic growth of Poland," Managerial Economics, AGH University of Science and Technology, Faculty of Management, vol. 9, pages 103-120.
  2. Gurgul, Henryk & Lach, Lukasz, 2011. "The electricity consumption versus economic growth of the Polish economy," MPRA Paper 35785, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  3. Gurgul, Henryk & Lach, Łukasz, 2011. "The interdependence between energy consumption and economic growth in the Polish economy in the last decade," MPRA Paper 52283, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  4. Gurgul, Henryk & Lach, lukasz, 2011. "The role of coal consumption in the economic growth of the Polish economy in transition," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(4), pages 2088-2099, April.
  5. Gurgul, Henryk & Lach, Łukasz, 2010. "International trade and economic growth in the Polish economy," MPRA Paper 52286, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  6. Gurgul, Henryk & Lach, Łukasz, 2011. "Causality analysis between public expenditure and economic growth of Polish economy in last decade," MPRA Paper 52281, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  7. Lach, Łukasz, 2010. "Fixed capital and long run economic growth: evidence from Poland," MPRA Paper 52280, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  8. Gurgul, Henryk & Lach, Łukasz, 2012. "The association between stock market and exchange rates for advanced and emerging markets – A case study of the Swiss and Polish economies," MPRA Paper 52238, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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