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Speed distribution model, expectation speed of the system and aggregation behaviour for traffic congestion

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  • Chaofa Wang
  • Dongdong Li
  • Qing Liu
  • Xiaorong Wei

Abstract

This research presents a distribution model using queuing theory for traffic congestion that can be used to analyse the concrete dynamics of the expectation speed of a system, which consists of two paths, and finds that the expectation speed is a quadratic function for increment (quantities of optimistic drivers) per unit time without assuming the full rationality of choice behaviour; focusing on the conclusions of certain practical significance, a potential function and a jump Markov chain can be used to describe how the degree of uncertain parameters affects drivers' aggregated behaviour.

Suggested Citation

  • Chaofa Wang & Dongdong Li & Qing Liu & Xiaorong Wei, 2023. "Speed distribution model, expectation speed of the system and aggregation behaviour for traffic congestion," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(4), pages 2175-2185, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:wly:mgtdec:v:44:y:2023:i:4:p:2175-2185
    DOI: 10.1002/mde.3810
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    References listed on IDEAS

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