Trend in the international terms of trade between primary producers and manufacturers
AbstractMovements in the terms of trade between primary producers and manufacturers are analyzed using a model that introduces the influence of relative wage movements in the primary and manufacturing sectors as well as the influence of mark-up pricing in manufacturing. The model is estimated using data on the relative price of primary commodities and manufactured goods in international trade during the post-World War II (WWII) period. A decline in wages of primary-sector workers relative to those of workers in manufacturing and a rise in manufacturing margins are both estimated to have reduced the terms of trade for primary producers. However, expansion of manufacturing output is estimated to have a positive impact that has more than offset the negative influences during periods of moderate to strong growth.
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Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. in its journal Journal of International Development.
Volume (Year): 8 (1996)
Issue (Month): 1 ()
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Other versions of this item:
- Harry Bloch & David Sapsford, . "Trend in the International Terms of Trade Between Primary Producers and Manufacturers," Working Papers, Department of Economics, University of Lancaster ec3/94, Department of Economics, University of Lancaster.
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- Bloch, H. & Sapsford, D., 1991.
"Post-War Movements in Prices of Primary Products and Manufactured Goods,"
Papers, Tasmania - Department of Economics
1991-03, Tasmania - Department of Economics.
- Harry Bloch & David Sapsford, 1992. "Postwar Movements in Prices of Primary Products and Manufactured Goods," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, M.E. Sharpe, Inc., M.E. Sharpe, Inc., vol. 14(2), pages 249-266, January.
- Tilton, John E., 2013.
"The terms of trade debate and the policy implications for primary product producers,"
Resources Policy, Elsevier,
Elsevier, vol. 38(2), pages 196-203.
- John E. Tilton, 2012. "The Terms Of Trade Debate and the Policy Implications for Primary Product Producers," Working Papers, Colorado School of Mines, Division of Economics and Business 2012-11, Colorado School of Mines, Division of Economics and Business.
- José Antonio Ocampo & María Angela Parra, 2004. "The commodity terms of trade and their strategic implications for development," International Trade, EconWPA 0403001, EconWPA.
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