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AIDS and economic growth in Africa: a panel data analysis

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Author Info
Simon Dixon (Sheffield Health Economics Group, University of Sheffield, UK)
Scott McDonald (Department of Economics, University of Sheffield, UK)
Jennifer Roberts (Sheffield Health Economics Group, University of Sheffield, UK)

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Abstract

HIV|AIDS is the dominant health issue in Africa, where in many countries the human and social costs are devastating. Any deterioration in economic performance is likely to compound these costs and render countries less able to cope with the epidemic. However, conventional economic theories of growth argue that the impact of such an epidemic on the growth rate and level of income may be positive or negative. The analyses reported in this paper assess the impact of the HIV epidemic upon economic growth performance in 41 African economies between 1960 and 1998. The results indicate that for African countries where the prevalence of HIV is relatively low the impact of the epidemic conforms to 'normal' economic expectations. However, when the prevalence of the epidemic is relatively high the macroeconomic impact of the epidemic is unclear. Copyright © 2001 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

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File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1002/jid.795
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Publisher Info
Article provided by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. in its journal Journal of International Development.

Volume (Year): 13 (2001)
Issue (Month): 4 ()
Pages: 411-426
Download reference. The following formats are available: HTML (with abstract), plain text (with abstract), BibTeX, RIS (EndNote, RefMan, ProCite), ReDIF
Handle: RePEc:wly:jintdv:v:13:y:2001:i:4:p:411-426

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Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Knowles, Stephen & Owen, P. Dorian, 1995. "Health capital and cross-country variation in income per capita in the Mankiw-Romer-Weil model," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 48(1), pages 99-106, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. McDonald, Scott & Roberts, Jennifer, 1996. "Misspecification and Cross-Country Growth Regressions," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 3(6), pages 413-16, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Anand, Sudhir & Ravallion, Martin, 1993. "Human Development in Poor Countries: On the Role of Private Incomes and Public Services," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 7(1), pages 133-50, Winter. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Bloom, David E. & Mahal, Ajay S., 1997. "Does the AIDS epidemic threaten economic growth?," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 77(1), pages 105-124, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Islam, Nazrul, 1995. "Growth Empirics: A Panel Data Approach," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 110(4), pages 1127-70, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Cuddington, John T. & Hancock, John D., 1994. "Assessing the impact of AIDS on the growth path of the Malawian economy," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(2), pages 363-368, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Sen, Amartya, 1998. "Mortality as an Indicator of Economic Success and Failure," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 108(446), pages 1-25, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  8. Cellini, Roberto, 1997. "Growth Empirics: Evidence from a Panel of Annual Data," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 4(6), pages 347-51, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  9. Robert J. Barro & Jong-Wha Lee, 1993. "International Comparisons of Educational Attainment," NBER Working Papers 4349, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  10. Wheeler, David, 1980. "Basic needs fulfillment and economic growth : A simultaneous model," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 7(4), pages 435-451, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  11. Miller, Stephen M, 1996. "A Note on Cross-Country Growth Regressions," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 28(8), pages 1019-26, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  12. Mankiw, N Gregory & Romer, David & Weil, David N, 1992. "A Contribution to the Empirics of Economic Growth," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 107(2), pages 407-37, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  13. Jennifer Roberts, 1999. "Sensitivity of elasticity estimates for OECD health care spending: analysis of a dynamic heterogeneous data field," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 8(5), pages 459-472.
  14. Selma J. Mushkin, 1962. "Health as an Investment," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 70, pages 129. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  16. Amar Hamoudi & Jeffrey D. Sachs, 1999. "The Changing Global Distribution of Malaria: A Review," CID Working Papers 2, Center for International Development at Harvard University. [Downloadable!]
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Markus Haacker, 2002. "Modeling the Macroeconomic Impact of HIV/AIDS," IMF Working Papers 02/195, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  2. Marc Suhrcke & Dieter M. Urban, 2006. "Are Cardiovascular Diseases Bad for Economic Growth?," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich. [Downloadable!]
  3. José Cuesta, 2008. "Does a Mature AIDS Epidemic Threaten Growth?," RES Working Papers 4567, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department. [Downloadable!]
  4. DelaCruz, Juan, 2007. "A brief contribution to the debate over the impact if HIV/AIDS on economic growth," MPRA Paper 10840, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  5. Arndt, Channing, 2002. "HIV/AIDS, human capital, and economic prospects for Mozambique," TMD discussion papers 88, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). [Downloadable!]
  6. Pedro de Araujo, 2008. "The Socio-Economic Distribution of AIDS Incidence and Output," Caepr Working Papers 2008-014_updated, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, Economics Department, Indiana University Bloomington. [Downloadable!]
  7. Michael Grimm & Denis Cogneau, 2004. "AIDS and income distribution in Africa. A micro-simulation study for Cˆote d’Ivoire," Labor and Demography 0408006, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
  8. Martin Wall, 2003. "Estimating the Economic Impact of HIV/AIDs on the countries of the Former Soviet Union," Working Papers 1, Economics and Statistics Analysis Unit (ESAU), Overseas Development Institute. [Downloadable!]
  9. Paul Mosley, 2002. "The African green revolution as a pro-poor policy instrument," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 14(6), pages 695-724. [Downloadable!]
  10. José Cuesta, 2008. "¿Una epidemia de SIDA en su etapa madura es una amenaza para el crecimiento?," RES Working Papers 4568, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department. [Downloadable!]
  11. Maria Abreu & Henri L.F. de Groot & Raymond J.G.M. Florax, 2005. "A Meta-Analysis of Beta-Convergence: The Legendary Two-Percent," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 05-001/3, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]
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