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Multiple-Bounded Uncertainty Choice Data as Probabilistic Intentions

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Author Info
Mary F. Evans
Nicholas E. Flores
Kevin J. Boyle

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Abstract

The multiple-bounded uncertainty choice (MBUC) value elicitation method allows respondents to indicate qualitative levels of uncertainty, as opposed to a simple yes or no, across a range of prices. We argue that MBUC responses convey subjective probabilities. We examine the decision process of the researcher faced with estimating population parameters from MBUC sample responses. We develop her optimal decision rule based on a specified loss function. The resulting estimator accommodates uncertainty on the part of the respondent and the researcher. We illustrate the proposed estimation method using MBUC responses from the first field application of this elicitation format. The resulting framework produces stable estimates and nests alternative methods of modeling MBUC responses.

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File URL: http://le.uwpress.org/cgi/reprint/79/4/549
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Publisher Info
Article provided by University of Wisconsin Press in its journal Land Economics.

Volume (Year): 79 (2003)
Issue (Month): 4 ()
Pages: 549-560
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Handle: RePEc:uwp:landec:v:79:y:2003:i:4:p:549-560

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
Q26 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Renewable Resources and Conservation - - - Recreational Aspects of Natural Resources

Cited by:
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  1. Lili Sun & G. Kooten, 2009. "Comparing Fuzzy and Probabilistic Approaches to Preference Uncertainty in Non-Market Valuation," Environmental & Resource Economics, European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 42(4), pages 471-489, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Glenn Blomquist & Karen Blumenschein & Magnus Johannesson, 2009. "Eliciting Willingness to Pay without Bias using Follow-up Certainty Statements: Comparisons between Probably/Definitely and a 10-point Certainty Scale," Environmental & Resource Economics, European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 43(4), pages 473-502, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Kelvin Balcombe & Iain Fraser, 2009. "A General Treatment of Non-Response Data From Choice Experiments Using Logit Models," Studies in Economics 0916, Department of Economics, University of Kent. [Downloadable!]
  4. Giovanni B Concu, 2004. "A choice modelling approach to investigate biases in individual and aggregated benefit estimates due to omission of distance," Working Paper CRENoS 200412, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia. [Downloadable!]
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