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Scenario-generation methods for an optimal public debt strategy

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Author Info
Massimo Bernaschi
Maya Briani
Marco Papi
Davide Vergni
Abstract

We describe the methods employed for the generation of possible scenarios for term structure evolution. The problem originated as a request from the Italian Ministry of Economy and Finance to find an optimal strategy for the issuance of Public Debt securities. The basic idea is to split the evolution of each rate into two parts. The first component is driven by the evolution of the official rate (the European Central Bank official rate in the present case). The second component of each rate is represented by the fluctuations having null correlation with the ECB rate.

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File URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/14697680601038167&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Taylor and Francis Journals in its journal Quantitative Finance.

Volume (Year): 7 (2007)
Issue (Month): 2 ()
Pages: 217-229
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Handle: RePEc:taf:quantf:v:7:y:2007:i:2:p:217-229

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Related research
Keywords: Public debt strategy Scenario-generation methods

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