IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/hal/journl/hal-03898927.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Term structure modelling for multiple curves with stochastic discontinuities

Author

Listed:
  • Claudio Fontana
  • Zorana Grbac

    (UPCité - Université Paris Cité)

  • Sandrine Gümbel
  • Thorsten Schmidt

Abstract

We develop a general term structure framework taking stochastic discontinuities explicitly into account. Stochastic discontinuities are a key feature in interest rate markets, as for example the jumps of the term structures in correspondence to monetary policy meetings of the ECB show. We provide a general analysis of multiple curve markets under minimal assumptions in an extended HJM framework and provide a fundamental theorem of asset pricing based on NAFLVR. The approach with stochastic discontinuities permits to embed market models directly, unifying seemingly different modeling philosophies. We also develop a tractable class of models, based on affine semimartingales, going beyond the requirement of stochastic continuity.

Suggested Citation

  • Claudio Fontana & Zorana Grbac & Sandrine Gümbel & Thorsten Schmidt, 2020. "Term structure modelling for multiple curves with stochastic discontinuities," Post-Print hal-03898927, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-03898927
    DOI: 10.1007/s00780-020-00416-5
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-03898927
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://hal.science/hal-03898927/document
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s00780-020-00416-5?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Nicola Bruti-Liberati & Christina Nikitopoulos-Sklibosios & Eckhard Platen, 2010. "Real-world jump-diffusion term structure models," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(1), pages 23-37.
    2. Zorana Grbac & Antonis Papapantoleon & John Schoenmakers & David Skovmand, 2014. "Affine LIBOR models with multiple curves: theory, examples and calibration," Papers 1405.2450, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2015.
    3. Eckhard Platen, 2006. "A Benchmark Approach To Finance," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 16(1), pages 131-151, January.
    4. Constantinides, George M, 1992. "A Theory of the Nominal Term Structure of Interest Rates," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 5(4), pages 531-552.
    5. Christa Cuchiero & Claudio Fontana & Alessandro Gnoatto, 2016. "A general HJM framework for multiple yield curve modelling," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 20(2), pages 267-320, April.
    6. Christa Cuchiero & Claudio Fontana & Alessandro Gnoatto, 2019. "Affine multiple yield curve models," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(2), pages 568-611, April.
    7. St�phane Cr�pey & Zorana Grbac & Nathalie Ngor & David Skovmand, 2015. "A L�vy HJM multiple-curve model with application to CVA computation," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(3), pages 401-419, March.
    8. Y.M. Kabanov & D.O. Kramkov, 1998. "Asymptotic arbitrage in large financial markets," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 2(2), pages 143-172.
    9. Merton, Robert C, 1974. "On the Pricing of Corporate Debt: The Risk Structure of Interest Rates," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 29(2), pages 449-470, May.
    10. Piazzesi, Monika, 2001. "An Econometric Model of the Yield Curve With Macroeconomic Jump Effects," University of California at Los Angeles, Anderson Graduate School of Management qt5946p7hn, Anderson Graduate School of Management, UCLA.
    11. Don H. Kim & Jonathan H. Wright, 2014. "Jumps in Bond Yields at Known Times," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2014-100, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    12. Darrell Duffie & Rui Kan, 1996. "A Yield‐Factor Model Of Interest Rates," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 6(4), pages 379-406, October.
    13. Martin Keller-Ressel & Thorsten Schmidt & Robert Wardenga, 2018. "Affine processes beyond stochastic continuity," Papers 1804.07556, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2018.
    14. Damiano Brigo & Cristin Buescu & Marco Francischello & Andrea Pallavicini & Marek Rutkowski, 2018. "Risk-neutral valuation under differential funding costs, defaults and collateralization," Papers 1802.10228, arXiv.org.
    15. Hernandis, Lucía & Torró, Hipòlit, 2013. "The information content of Eonia swap rates before and during the financial crisis," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(12), pages 5316-5328.
    16. Monika Piazzesi, 2001. "An Econometric Model of the Yield Curve with Macroeconomic Jump Effects," NBER Working Papers 8246, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    17. Fabio Mercurio, 2010. "Modern Libor Market Models: Using Different Curves For Projecting Rates And For Discounting," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 13(01), pages 113-137.
    18. Christa Cuchiero & Josef Teichmann, 2014. "A convergence result for the Emery topology and a variant of the proof of the fundamental theorem of asset pricing," Papers 1406.5414, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2014.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Carassus, Laurence, 2023. "No free lunch for markets with multiple numéraires," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    2. Backwell, Alex & Hayes, Joshua, 2022. "Expected and Unexpected Jumps in the Overnight Rate: Consistent Management of the Libor Transition," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    3. Claudio Fontana & Giacomo Lanaro & Agatha Murgoci, 2024. "The geometry of multi-curve interest rate models," Papers 2401.11619, arXiv.org.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Claudio Fontana & Zorana Grbac & Sandrine Gümbel & Thorsten Schmidt, 2020. "Term structure modelling for multiple curves with stochastic discontinuities," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 24(2), pages 465-511, April.
    2. Claudio Fontana & Zorana Grbac & Sandrine Gumbel & Thorsten Schmidt, 2018. "Term structure modeling for multiple curves with stochastic discontinuities," Papers 1810.09882, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2019.
    3. Marek Rutkowski & Matthew Bickersteth, 2021. "Pricing and Hedging of SOFR Derivatives under Differential Funding Costs and Collateralization," Papers 2112.14033, arXiv.org.
    4. Alessandro Gnoatto & Nicole Seiffert, 2020. "Cross Currency Valuation and Hedging in the Multiple Curve Framework," Working Papers 03/2020, University of Verona, Department of Economics.
    5. repec:wyi:journl:002109 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. Christa Cuchiero & Claudio Fontana & Alessandro Gnoatto, 2019. "Affine multiple yield curve models," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(2), pages 568-611, April.
    7. Sandrine Gumbel & Thorsten Schmidt, 2020. "Machine learning for multiple yield curve markets: fast calibration in the Gaussian affine framework," Papers 2004.07736, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2020.
    8. Ke Du, 2013. "Commodity Derivative Pricing Under the Benchmark Approach," PhD Thesis, Finance Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney, number 1-2013.
    9. Peng Cheng & Olivier Scaillet, 2002. "Linear-Quadratic Jump-Diffusion Modeling with Application to Stochastic Volatility," FAME Research Paper Series rp67, International Center for Financial Asset Management and Engineering.
    10. Yangfan Zhong & Yanhui Mi, 2018. "Pricing in-arrears caps and ratchet caps under LIBOR market model with multiplicative basis," International Journal of Financial Engineering (IJFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 5(03), pages 1-31, September.
    11. Claudio Fontana & Markus Pelger & Eckhard Platen, 2017. "Sure Profits via Flash Strategies and the Impossibility of Predictable Jumps," Research Paper Series 385, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney.
    12. Markus Hess, 2020. "A pure-jump mean-reverting short rate model," Papers 2006.14814, arXiv.org.
    13. Sandrine Gümbel & Thorsten Schmidt, 2020. "Machine Learning for Multiple Yield Curve Markets: Fast Calibration in the Gaussian Affine Framework," Risks, MDPI, vol. 8(2), pages 1-18, May.
    14. Ke Du, 2013. "Commodity Derivative Pricing Under the Benchmark Approach," PhD Thesis, Finance Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney, number 2, July-Dece.
    15. Yangfan Zhong, 2018. "LIBOR market model with multiplicative basis," International Journal of Financial Engineering (IJFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 5(02), pages 1-38, June.
    16. Ang, Andrew & Piazzesi, Monika, 2003. "A no-arbitrage vector autoregression of term structure dynamics with macroeconomic and latent variables," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(4), pages 745-787, May.
    17. Jiang, George & Yan, Shu, 2009. "Linear-quadratic term structure models - Toward the understanding of jumps in interest rates," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 473-485, March.
    18. Claudio Fontana & Markus Pelger & Eckhard Platen, 2017. "On the existence of sure profits via flash strategies," Papers 1708.03099, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2019.
    19. Sandrine Gumbel & Thorsten Schmidt, 2021. "Defaultable term structures driven by semimartingales," Papers 2103.01577, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2021.
    20. Suresh M. Sundaresan, 2000. "Continuous‐Time Methods in Finance: A Review and an Assessment," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 55(4), pages 1569-1622, August.
    21. Liu, Jun & Longstaff, Francis A. & Mandell, Ravit E., 2000. "The Market Price of Credit Risk: An Empirical Analysis of Interest Rate Swap Spreads," University of California at Los Angeles, Anderson Graduate School of Management qt0zw4f9w6, Anderson Graduate School of Management, UCLA.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-03898927. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: CCSD (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.