IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/2103.01577.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Defaultable term structures driven by semimartingales

Author

Listed:
  • Sandrine Gumbel
  • Thorsten Schmidt

Abstract

We consider a market with a term structure of credit risky bonds in the single-name case. We aim at minimal assumptions extending existing results in this direction: first, the random field of forward rates is driven by a general semimartingale. Second, the Heath-Jarrow-Morton approach is extended with an additional component capturing those future jumps in the term structure which are visible from the current time. Third, the associated recovery scheme is as general as possible, it is only assumed to be non-increasing. In this general setting we derive generalized drift conditions which characterize when a given measure is a local martingale measure, thus yielding no asymptotic free lunch with vanishing risk (NAFLVR), the right notion for this large financial market to be free of arbitrage.

Suggested Citation

  • Sandrine Gumbel & Thorsten Schmidt, 2021. "Defaultable term structures driven by semimartingales," Papers 2103.01577, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2021.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2103.01577
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/2103.01577
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Umut Çetin & Robert Jarrow & Philip Protter & Yildiray Yildirim, 2008. "Modeling Credit Risk With Partial Information," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Financial Derivatives Pricing Selected Works of Robert Jarrow, chapter 23, pages 579-590, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    2. Christa Cuchiero & Claudio Fontana & Alessandro Gnoatto, 2016. "A general HJM framework for multiple yield curve modelling," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 20(2), pages 267-320, April.
    3. Black, Fischer & Cox, John C, 1976. "Valuing Corporate Securities: Some Effects of Bond Indenture Provisions," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 31(2), pages 351-367, May.
    4. Merton, Robert C, 1974. "On the Pricing of Corporate Debt: The Risk Structure of Interest Rates," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 29(2), pages 449-470, May.
    5. Duffie, Darrell & Lando, David, 2001. "Term Structures of Credit Spreads with Incomplete Accounting Information," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 69(3), pages 633-664, May.
    6. Piazzesi, Monika, 2001. "An Econometric Model of the Yield Curve With Macroeconomic Jump Effects," University of California at Los Angeles, Anderson Graduate School of Management qt5946p7hn, Anderson Graduate School of Management, UCLA.
    7. Chunsheng Zhou, 1997. "A jump-diffusion approach to modeling credit risk and valuing defaultable securities," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 1997-15, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    8. David Heath & Robert Jarrow & Andrew Morton, 2008. "Bond Pricing And The Term Structure Of Interest Rates: A New Methodology For Contingent Claims Valuation," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Financial Derivatives Pricing Selected Works of Robert Jarrow, chapter 13, pages 277-305, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    9. Alain BÉlanger & Steven E. Shreve & Dennis Wong, 2004. "A General Framework For Pricing Credit Risk," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 14(3), pages 317-350, July.
    10. Monika Piazzesi, 2001. "An Econometric Model of the Yield Curve with Macroeconomic Jump Effects," NBER Working Papers 8246, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    11. Frank Gehmlich & Thorsten Schmidt, 2018. "Dynamic Defaultable Term Structure Modeling Beyond The Intensity Paradigm," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(1), pages 211-239, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. repec:wyi:journl:002109 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Xin Guo & Robert A. Jarrow & Yan Zeng, 2009. "Credit Risk Models with Incomplete Information," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 34(2), pages 320-332, May.
    3. Claudio Fontana & Zorana Grbac & Sandrine Gümbel & Thorsten Schmidt, 2020. "Term structure modelling for multiple curves with stochastic discontinuities," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 24(2), pages 465-511, April.
    4. Viviana Fanelli & Silvana Musti, 2007. "Modelling Credit Spreads evolution using the Cox Process within the HJM framework," Quaderni DSEMS 27-2007, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche, Matematiche e Statistiche, Universita' di Foggia.
    5. Chiarella, Carl & Fanelli, Viviana & Musti, Silvana, 2011. "Modelling the evolution of credit spreads using the Cox process within the HJM framework: A CDS option pricing model," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 208(2), pages 95-108, January.
    6. Samuel Chege Maina, 2011. "Credit Risk Modelling in Markovian HJM Term Structure Class of Models with Stochastic Volatility," PhD Thesis, Finance Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney, number 1-2011.
    7. Claudio Fontana & Zorana Grbac & Sandrine Gumbel & Thorsten Schmidt, 2018. "Term structure modeling for multiple curves with stochastic discontinuities," Papers 1810.09882, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2019.
    8. Tolulope Fadina & Thorsten Schmidt, 2019. "Default Ambiguity," Risks, MDPI, vol. 7(2), pages 1-17, June.
    9. Tahir Choulli & Catherine Daveloose & Michèle Vanmaele, 2020. "A martingale representation theorem and valuation of defaultable securities," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(4), pages 1527-1564, October.
    10. Hilscher, Jens & Raviv, Alon, 2014. "Bank stability and market discipline: The effect of contingent capital on risk taking and default probability," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 542-560.
    11. Claudio Fontana & Zorana Grbac & Sandrine Gümbel & Thorsten Schmidt, 2020. "Term structure modelling for multiple curves with stochastic discontinuities," Post-Print hal-03898927, HAL.
    12. Christopoulos, Andreas D., 2017. "The composition of CMBS risk," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 215-239.
    13. Duffie, Darrell, 2003. "Intertemporal asset pricing theory," Handbook of the Economics of Finance, in: G.M. Constantinides & M. Harris & R. M. Stulz (ed.), Handbook of the Economics of Finance, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 11, pages 639-742, Elsevier.
    14. Nystrom, Kaj & Skoglund, Jimmy, 2006. "A credit risk model for large dimensional portfolios with application to economic capital," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(8), pages 2163-2197, August.
    15. Martin Keller-Ressel & Thorsten Schmidt & Robert Wardenga, 2018. "Affine processes beyond stochastic continuity," Papers 1804.07556, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2018.
    16. Becchetti, Leonardo & Carpentieri, Andrea & Hasan, Iftekhar, 2009. "The determinants of option-adjusted delta credit spreads : a comparative analysis of the United States, the United Kingdom and the euro area," Research Discussion Papers 34/2009, Bank of Finland.
    17. Yildirim, Yildiray, 2006. "Modeling default risk: A new structural approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 3(3), pages 165-172, September.
    18. Tomoaki Shouda, 2005. "Dynamical analysis of corporate bonds based on the yield spread term-quality surface," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 12(4), pages 307-332, December.
    19. Campi, Luciano & Polbennikov, Simon & Sbuelz, Alessandro, 2009. "Systematic equity-based credit risk: A CEV model with jump to default," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 93-108, January.
    20. Elisa Luciano & Wim Schoutens, 2006. "A multivariate jump-driven financial asset model," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 6(5), pages 385-402.
    21. Leonard Tchuindjo, 2007. "Pricing of Multi-Defaultable Bonds with a Two-Correlated-Factor Hull-White Model," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(1), pages 19-39.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2103.01577. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.