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The geometry of multi-curve interest rate models

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  • Claudio Fontana
  • Giacomo Lanaro
  • Agatha Murgoci

Abstract

We study the problems of consistency and of the existence of finite-dimensional realizations for multi-curve interest rate models of Heath-Jarrow-Morton type, generalizing the geometric approach developed by T. Bj\"ork and co-authors in the classical single-curve setting. We characterize when a multi-curve interest rate model is consistent with a given parameterized family of forward curves and spreads and when a model can be realized by a finite-dimensional state process. We illustrate the general theory in a number of model classes and examples, providing explicit constructions of finite-dimensional realizations. Based on these theoretical results, we perform the calibration of a three-curve Hull-White model to market data and analyse the stability of the estimated parameters.

Suggested Citation

  • Claudio Fontana & Giacomo Lanaro & Agatha Murgoci, 2024. "The geometry of multi-curve interest rate models," Papers 2401.11619, arXiv.org.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2401.11619
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    6. Tomas Björk & Lars Svensson, 2001. "On the Existence of Finite‐Dimensional Realizations for Nonlinear Forward Rate Models," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 11(2), pages 205-243, April.
    7. Gerhart, Christoph & Lütkebohmert, Eva, 2020. "Empirical analysis and forecasting of multiple yield curves," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 59-78.
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