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Time horizon trading and the idiosyncratic risk puzzle

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  • Juliana Malagon
  • David Moreno
  • Rosa Rodr�guez

Abstract

We analyse whether the idiosyncratic risk puzzle reported by Ang et al . can be explained by the existence of market participants with different investment horizons. We adopt a wavelet multiresolution analysis to decompose the returns distribution for different time scales. Our approach divides the nonlinear link between expected returns and idiosyncratic risk into two linear relationships, a positive one for long-run investors and a negative one for short-run investors, indicating that the puzzle disappears as the wavelet scale increases (long-term horizons). Our results are robust to several types of wavelets, to different definitions of short-term investors and to various measures of idiosyncratic risk.

Suggested Citation

  • Juliana Malagon & David Moreno & Rosa Rodr�guez, 2015. "Time horizon trading and the idiosyncratic risk puzzle," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(2), pages 327-343, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:quantf:v:15:y:2015:i:2:p:327-343
    DOI: 10.1080/14697688.2012.755560
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    Cited by:

    1. Faria, Gonçalo & Verona, Fabio, 2018. "Forecasting stock market returns by summing the frequency-decomposed parts," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 228-242.
    2. Faria, Gonçalo & Verona, Fabio, 2020. "The yield curve and the stock market: Mind the long run," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    3. Manuel Monge & Luis A. Gil-Alana, 2020. "The Lithium Industry and Analysis of the Beta Term Structure of Oil Companies," Risks, MDPI, vol. 8(4), pages 1-17, December.
    4. Ali, Syed Riaz Mahmood & Hasan, Mohammad Nurul & Östermark, Ralf, 2020. "Are idiosyncratic risk and extreme positive return priced in the Indian equity market?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 530-545.
    5. Gider, Jasmin & Westheide, Christian, 2016. "Relative idiosyncratic volatility and the timing of corporate insider trading," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 312-334.
    6. Hong, Jiawei & Yu, Xiaojian & Xiao, Weilin & Zhang, Xili, 2022. "The dispersion of beta estimates and the investors’ heterogeneous Beliefs：Evidence from the stock market in China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 540-550.
    7. Faria, Gonçalo & Verona, Fabio, 2018. "The equity risk premium and the low frequency of the term spread," Research Discussion Papers 7/2018, Bank of Finland.
    8. Gonçalo Faria & Fabio Verona, 2021. "Time-frequency forecast of the equity premium," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(12), pages 2119-2135, December.
    9. repec:zbw:bofrdp:2020_006 is not listed on IDEAS
    10. repec:zbw:bofrdp:2017_001 is not listed on IDEAS
    11. Jafarinejad, Mohammad & Jory, Surendranath R. & Ngo, Thanh N., 2015. "The effects of institutional ownership on the value and risk of diversified firms," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 207-219.
    12. repec:zbw:bofrdp:2016_029 is not listed on IDEAS
    13. Faria, Gonçalo & Verona, Fabio, 2018. "Forecasting stock market returns by summing the frequency-decomposed parts," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 228-242.
    14. Gonçalo Faria & Fabio Verona, 2016. "Forecasting the equity risk premium with frequency-decomposed predictors," Working Papers de Economia (Economics Working Papers) 06, Católica Porto Business School, Universidade Católica Portuguesa.
    15. Gonçalo Faria & Fabio Verona, 2016. "Forecasting the equity risk premium with frequency-decomposed predictors," Working Papers de Economia (Economics Working Papers) 06, Católica Porto Business School, Universidade Católica Portuguesa.
    16. Chen, Linda H. & Jiang, George J. & Xu, Danielle D. & Yao, Tong, 2020. "Dissecting the idiosyncratic volatility anomaly," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 193-209.
    17. Malagon, Juliana & Moreno, David & Rodríguez, Rosa, 2018. "Idiosyncratic volatility, conditional liquidity and stock returns," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 118-132.
    18. Gonçalo Faria & Fabio Verona, 2021. "Time-frequency forecast of the equity premium," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(12), pages 2119-2135, December.
    19. Malagon, Juliana & Moreno, David & Rodríguez, Rosa, 2015. "The idiosyncratic volatility anomaly: Corporate investment or investor mispricing?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 224-238.
    20. repec:zbw:bofrdp:2018_007 is not listed on IDEAS

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