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Global Climate Change, the Economy, and the Resurgence of Tropical Disease

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  • DOUGLAS GOLLIN
  • CHRISTIAN ZIMMERMANN

Abstract

How will global climate change affect the prevalence of tropical diseases? In general, warmer temperatures will expand the areas in which these diseases are endemic. However, if households can take actions to protect themselves from disease—such as purchasing bednets or insecticidal sprays—then economic factors may greatly mitigate the effects of climate change. These actions are costly, however, and particularly in poor countries, many households face borrowing constraints. A model of disease transmission combining the household's objectives and constraints shows that a temperature increase of 3°C will induce modest changes in disease prevalence and output. These effects can be mitigated by improvements in the efficacy of disease prevention.

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File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/08898480.2012.640868
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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Taylor & Francis Journals in its journal Mathematical Population Studies.

Volume (Year): 19 (2012)
Issue (Month): 1 (January)
Pages: 51-62

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Handle: RePEc:taf:mpopst:v:19:y:2012:i:1:p:51-62

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Cited by:
  1. Marcello Basili & Filippo Belloc, 2012. "How to Measure the Economic Impact of Vector-Borne Diseases at a Country Level: An Assessment," Department of Economics University of Siena 648, Department of Economics, University of Siena.

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