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The Health Effects of Climate Change: A Survey of Recent Quantitative Research

Author

Listed:
  • Margherita Grasso

    (Budgeting and Planning, Enel Engineering and Innovation, S.p.A., 20121 Milan, Italy)

  • Matteo Manera

    (Department of Statistics, University of Milan-Bicocca, 20126 Milan, Italy
    Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei, 20136 Milan, Italy)

  • Aline Chiabai

    (BC3 Basque Centre for Climate Change, E-48008 Bilbao, Spain)

  • Anil Markandya

    (BC3 Basque Centre for Climate Change, E-48008 Bilbao, Spain
    Department of Economics, University of Bath, BA2 7AY Bath, UK)

Abstract

In recent years there has been a large scientific and public debate on climate change and its direct as well as indirect effects on human health. In particular, a large amount of research on the effects of climate changes on human health has addressed two fundamental questions. First, can historical data be of some help in revealing how short-run or long-run climate variations affect the occurrence of infectious diseases? Second, is it possible to build more accurate quantitative models which are capable of predicting the future effects of different climate conditions on the transmissibility of particularly dangerous infectious diseases? The primary goal of this paper is to review the most relevant contributions which have directly tackled those questions, both with respect to the effects of climate changes on the diffusion of non-infectious and infectious diseases, with malaria as a case study. Specific attention will be drawn on the methodological aspects of each study, which will be classified according to the type of quantitative model considered, namely time series models, panel data and spatial models, and non-statistical approaches. Since many different disciplines and approaches are involved, a broader view is necessary in order to provide a better understanding of the interactions between climate and health. In this respect, our paper also presents a critical summary of the recent literature related to more general aspects of the impacts of climate changes on human health, such as: the economics of climate change; how to manage the health effects of climate change; the establishment of Early Warning Systems for infectious diseases.

Suggested Citation

  • Margherita Grasso & Matteo Manera & Aline Chiabai & Anil Markandya, 2012. "The Health Effects of Climate Change: A Survey of Recent Quantitative Research," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 9(5), pages 1-25, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jijerp:v:9:y:2012:i:5:p:1523-1547:d:17386
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Hongyan Cai & Shuwen Zhang & Xiaohuan Yang, 2012. "Forest Dynamics and Their Phenological Response to Climate Warming in the Khingan Mountains, Northeastern China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 9(11), pages 1-11, October.
    2. Yawe, Bruno Lule, 2014. "Changes in climatic factors and malaria in Uganda," WIDER Working Paper Series 111, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    3. Bruno Lule Yawe, 2014. "Changes in Climatic Factors and Malaria in Uganda," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2014-111, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).

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