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The Role of Monetary Policy in the New Keynesian Model: Evidence from Vietnam

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  • Khieu van Hoang

Abstract

This paper re-designs the New Keynesian model developed by Ireland (2004) and then uses the Vietnamese data from January 1995 to December 2012 to estimate the model's parameters. The empirical results show that the State Bank of Vietnam had been more aggressive as well as more responsive to aggregate fluctuations in the period before August 2000 than in the latter period. Thus, this change in the policy stance could be a potential reason for the declining importance of monetary policy in generating movements in output growth, inflation, interest rate, and the output gap across the subsamples. Another notable finding is the dominant role of the cost-push shock in explaining fluctuations in inflation, interest rate, and the output gap, leading to a policy implication that more attention should be devoted to developing substitute and complement industries so as to mitigate negative effects of the cost-push shocks by reducing the degree of dependence on imports.

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  • Khieu van Hoang, 2015. "The Role of Monetary Policy in the New Keynesian Model: Evidence from Vietnam," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(1), pages 137-160, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:intecj:v:29:y:2015:i:1:p:137-160
    DOI: 10.1080/10168737.2014.966741
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    Cited by:

    1. Van Nguyen, Phuong, 2020. "The Vietnamese business cycle in an estimated small open economy New Keynesian DSGE model," Dynare Working Papers 56, CEPREMAP.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E12 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Keynes; Keynesian; Post-Keynesian; Modern Monetary Theory
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles

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