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Export-Output Causality and the Role of Exports in Irish Growth: 1950-1997

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  • Doyle Eleanor
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    Abstract

    Sources of Irish growth are examined using a recently developed Granger causality procedure with particular focus on the role of Irish exports. As augmented production function is employed where the inclusion of variables in addition to exports ensures that different impacts on exports and output are controlled for and thus, a more accurate testing of the export-led-growth hypothesis is possible. The most important sources of Irish growth are identified as the terms of trade and demand in industrial countries i.e. external sources. Bi-directional causality is found for exports and output implying a virtuous circle of growth and exports. [F1,F4]

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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Taylor & Francis Journals in its journal International Economic Journal.

    Volume (Year): 15 (2001)
    Issue (Month): 3 ()
    Pages: 31-54

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    Handle: RePEc:taf:intecj:v:15:y:2001:i:3:p:31-54

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    1. Michaely, Michael, 1977. "Exports and growth : An empirical investigation," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 4(1), pages 49-53, February.
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    7. Marin, Dalia, 1992. "Is the Export-Led.Growth Hypothesis Valid for Industrialized Countries?," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 74(4), pages 678-88, November.
    8. Barry, F & Bradley, J, 1997. ""FDI and Trade : The Irish Host-Country Experience"," Papers 97/13, College Dublin, Department of Political Economy-.
    9. Toda, Hiro Y & Phillips, Peter C B, 1993. "Vector Autoregressions and Causality," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 61(6), pages 1367-93, November.
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    11. Anne O. Krueger, 1980. "Trade Policy as an Input to Development," NBER Working Papers 0466, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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    13. Toda, Hiro Y. & Yamamoto, Taku, 1995. "Statistical inference in vector autoregressions with possibly integrated processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 66(1-2), pages 225-250.
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    Cited by:
    1. Matija Rejec & Slavica Penev, 2011. "Attractiveness of Western Balkan Countries for FDI," Book Chapters, Institute of Economic Sciences.
    2. Justin Doran, 2012. "An analysis of the interdependence of demographic factors, labour effort and economic growth in Ireland," International Journal of Social Economics, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 39(3), pages 221-237, March.

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