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Export-Output Causality And The Role Of Exports In Irish Growth: 1950--1997

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Author Info
ELEANOR DOYLE
Abstract

Sources of Irish growth are examined using a recently developed Granger causality procedure with particular focus on the role of Irish exports. An augmented production function is employed where the inclusion of variables in addition to exports ensures that different impacts on exports and output are controlled for and thus, a more accurate testing of the export-led-growth hypothesis is possible. The most important sources of Irish growth are identified as the terms of trade and demand in industrial countries i.e. external sources. Bi-directional causality is found for exports and output implying a virtuous circle of growth and exports. [F1, F4]

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Article provided by Korean International Economic Association in its journal International Economic Journal.

Volume (Year): 15 (2001)
Issue (Month): 3 (October)
Pages: 31-54
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Handle: RePEc:taf:intecj:v:15:y:2001:i:3:p:31-54

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  1. Anne O. Krueger, 1980. "Trade Policy as an Input to Development," NBER Working Papers 0466, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Marin, Dalia, 1992. "Is the Export-Led.Growth Hypothesis Valid for Industrialized Countries?," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 74(4), pages 678-88, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  3. Feder, Gershon, 1983. "On exports and economic growth," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 12(1-2), pages 59-73. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Shan, Jordan & Tian, Gary Gang, 1998. "Causality between Exports and Economic Growth: The Empirical Evidence from Shanghai," Australian Economic Papers, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 37(2), pages 195-202, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Toda, Hiro Y. & Yamamoto, Taku, 1995. "Statistical inference in vector autoregressions with possibly integrated processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 66(1-2), pages 225-250. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Toda, Hiro Y & Phillips, Peter C B, 1993. "Vector Autoregressions and Causality," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 61(6), pages 1367-93, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  7. Barry, F & Bradley, J, 1997. ""FDI and Trade : The Irish Host-Country Experience"," Papers 97/13, College Dublin, Department of Political Economy-.
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  8. Krueger, Anne O, 1980. "Trade Policy as an Input to Development," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 70(2), pages 288-92, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  9. Zapata, Hector O & Rambaldi, Alicia N, 1997. "Monte Carlo Evidence on Cointegration and Causation," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 59(2), pages 285-98, May.
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  10. Mankiw, N Gregory & Romer, David & Weil, David N, 1992. "A Contribution to the Empirics of Economic Growth," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 107(2), pages 407-37, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  11. Michaely, Michael, 1977. "Exports and growth : An empirical investigation," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 4(1), pages 49-53, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  12. Jin, Jang C & Yu, Eden S H, 1996. "Export-Led Growth and the US Economy: Another Look," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 3(5), pages 341-44, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  13. Sims, Christopher A & Stock, James H & Watson, Mark W, 1990. "Inference in Linear Time Series Models with Some Unit Roots," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 58(1), pages 113-44, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  14. Rivera-Batiz, Luis A & Romer, Paul M, 1991. "Economic Integration and Endogenous Growth," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 106(2), pages 531-55, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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