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MIDAS Regressions: Further Results and New Directions

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Author Info
Eric Ghysels
Arthur Sinko
Rossen Valkanov
Abstract

We explore mixed data sampling (henceforth MIDAS) regression models. The regressions involve time series data sampled at different frequencies. Volatility and related processes are our prime focus, though the regression method has wider applications in macroeconomics and finance, among other areas. The regressions combine recent developments regarding estimation of volatility and a not-so-recent literature on distributed lag models. We study various lag structures to parameterize parsimoniously the regressions and relate them to existing models. We also propose several new extensions of the MIDAS framework. The paper concludes with an empirical section where we provide further evidence and new results on the risk-return trade-off. We also report empirical evidence on microstructure noise and volatility forecasting.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Taylor and Francis Journals in its journal Econometric Reviews.

Volume (Year): 26 (2007)
Issue (Month): 1 ()
Pages: 53-90
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Handle: RePEc:taf:emetrv:v:26:y:2007:i:1:p:53-90

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Related research
Keywords: Microstructure noise; Nonlinear MIDAS; Risk; Tick-by-tick applications; Volatility;

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  1. Marcellino, Massimiliano & Schumacher, Christian, 2008. "Factor-MIDAS for now- and forecasting with ragged-edge data: A model comparison for German GDP," CEPR Discussion Papers 6708, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  2. Chun Liu & John M. Maheu, 2009. "Forecasting realized volatility: a Bayesian model-averaging approach," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(5), pages 709-733. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  3. Kuzin, Vladimir & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Schumacher, Christian, 2009. "MIDAS versus mixed-frequency VAR: nowcasting GDP in the euro area," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2009,07, Deutsche Bundesbank, Research Centre. [Downloadable!]
  4. Vladimir Kuzin & Massimiliano Marcellino & Christian Schumacher, 2009. "MIDAS vs. mixed-frequency VAR: Nowcasting GDP in the Euro Area," Economics Working Papers ECO2009/32, European University Institute. [Downloadable!]
  5. Jens Hogrefe, 2008. "Forecasting data revisions of GDP: a mixed frequency approach," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer, vol. 92(3), pages 271-296, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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