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When may depreciations fuel inflation? An application to the Spanish case

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  • Enrique Alberola
  • Juan Ayuso
  • J. David Lopez-Salido

Abstract

In this paper it is considered that the relationship between nominal exchange rate and prices depends on the nature of the shocks impacting the economy. In order to identify the sources of nominal exchange rate and relative price fluctuations we impose long-run restrictions on the dynamics of these variables through a 2-variable and 3-variable SVAR, respectively. This methodology is applied to data on the Spanish economy and find that supply and real demand shocks move nominal exchange rates and relative prices in opposite directions. Nominal shocks, however, move both variables in the same direction. Thus, in this case, only under nominal shocks may exchange rate depreciations fuel inflation.

Suggested Citation

  • Enrique Alberola & Juan Ayuso & J. David Lopez-Salido, 2000. "When may depreciations fuel inflation? An application to the Spanish case," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(8), pages 1037-1049.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:8:p:1037-1049
    DOI: 10.1080/000368400322093
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Stockman, Alan C., 1988. "Real exchange-rate variability under pegged and floating nominal exchange-rate systems: An equilibrium theory," Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, Elsevier, vol. 29(1), pages 259-294, January.
    2. Richard Baldwin & Paul Krugman, 1989. "Persistent Trade Effects of Large Exchange Rate Shocks," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 104(4), pages 635-654.
    3. Canzoneri, Matthew B & Vallés Liberal, Javier & Viñals, José, 1996. "Do Exchange Rates Move to Address International Macroeconomic Imbalances?," CEPR Discussion Papers 1498, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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    Cited by:

    1. Mr. Ashok Bhundia, 2002. "An Empirical Investigation of Exchange Rate Pass-Through in South Africa," IMF Working Papers 2002/165, International Monetary Fund.

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