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The endogeneity of tariffs in Italy, 1890-1969

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  • Flavia Terr Ibile
  • John Thornton

Abstract

The theory of tariff endogeneity suggests that tariffs are influenced by macroeconomic disturbances. The paper tests a simple endogenous tariff model for Italy applying cointegration techniques to time-series data for the period 1890-1969. It is found that the average tariff level is cointegrated with industrial production, consumer prices, the terms of trade and the foreign trade balance (as a percentage of GNP) and that tariff setting has responded to disturbances in these variables. In particular, tariffs appear to have been raised in response to low output growth, increases in the terms of trade and a deteriorating foreign trade balance, and reduced in response to higher inflation.

Suggested Citation

  • Flavia Terr Ibile & John Thornton, 2000. "The endogeneity of tariffs in Italy, 1890-1969," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 7(8), pages 517-520.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:8:p:517-520
    DOI: 10.1080/13504850050033292
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Das, Sanghamitra & Das, Satya P., 1994. "Quantitative assessment of tariff endogeneity : Interwar vs. postwar," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 44(1-2), pages 139-146.
    2. Bohara, Alok K. & Kaempfer, William H., 1991. "Testing the endogeneity of tariff policy in the U.S. : Further evidence," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 311-315, March.
    3. Johansen, Soren, 1988. "Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 12(2-3), pages 231-254.
    4. Krol, Robert, 1996. "Testing tariff endogeneity in Japan: A comparison of pre- and post-war periods," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 50(3), pages 399-406, March.
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