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The causal relationships between foreign exchange intervention and exchange rate

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  • Takeshi Hoshikawa

Abstract

This article examines the causal relationships between foreign exchange intervention and exchange rate. We find evidence of instantaneous causal relationships in mean and variance and feedback causal relationships in mean. It suggests that the expectation for exchange rate and volatility is influenced by information on foreign exchange intervention.

Suggested Citation

  • Takeshi Hoshikawa, 2008. "The causal relationships between foreign exchange intervention and exchange rate," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(7), pages 519-522.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:7:p:519-522
    DOI: 10.1080/13504850600721890
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Dominguez, Kathryn M., 1998. "Central bank intervention and exchange rate volatility1," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 17(1), pages 161-190, February.
    2. Mark P. Taylor & Lucio Sarno, 2001. "Official Intervention in the Foreign Exchange Market: Is It Effective and, If So, How Does It Work?," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 39(3), pages 839-868, September.
    3. Bollerslev, Tim, 1986. "Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 307-327, April.
    4. Cheung, Yin-Wong & Ng, Lilian K., 1996. "A causality-in-variance test and its application to financial market prices," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 72(1-2), pages 33-48.
    5. Dominguez, Kathryn M & Frankel, Jeffrey A, 1993. "Does Foreign-Exchange Intervention Matter? The Portfolio Effect," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 83(5), pages 1356-1369, December.
    6. Mark P. Taylor, 2004. "Is Official Exchange Rate Intervention Effective?," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 71, pages 1-11, February.
    7. Frenkel, Michael & Pierdzioch, Christian & Stadtmann, Georg, 2005. "The effects of Japanese foreign exchange market interventions on the yen/U.S. dollar exchange rate volatility," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 14(1), pages 27-39.
    8. Engle, Robert F, 1982. "Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 50(4), pages 987-1007, July.
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    Cited by:

    1. Yuki Toyoshima, 2018. "Testing for Causality-In-Mean and Variance between the UK Housing and Stock Markets," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-10, April.
    2. Takashi Miyazaki & Shigeyuki Hamori, 2013. "Testing for causality between the gold return and stock market performance: evidence for ‘gold investment in case of emergency’," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(1), pages 27-40, January.

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