IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/envpol/v16y2014i3p279-302.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Estimating the local effect of weather on field crop production with unobserved producer behavior: a bioeconomic modeling framework

Author

Listed:
  • Yong Jiang
  • Won Koo

Abstract

The role of weather in crop production at field is central to understanding the impact of climate change on agriculture and its implications for food security. In this study, we developed a bioeconomic modeling framework for estimating the field effect of weather on crop production at the regional scale with unobserved producer behavior. We took a systematic perspective for model development, explicitly considering crop production as a coupled human–nature system dominated by management adapted to local environmental and economic conditions. We drew on economics to characterize producer management behavior and crop yield consistent with the process of field production. We integrated scientific findings on plant growth and production economics to parameterize the yield function of crop that can be statistically estimated with observed data. An empirical application of our approach to spring wheat production found spatially heterogeneous effect of weather and climate change impact. Our modeling approach can be applied to different crops or regions to develop locally specific understandings of the management adjusted, production effect of weather and climate change impact, with implications on cropping system resilience and for adaptation. Copyright Springer Japan 2014

Suggested Citation

  • Yong Jiang & Won Koo, 2014. "Estimating the local effect of weather on field crop production with unobserved producer behavior: a bioeconomic modeling framework," Environmental Economics and Policy Studies, Springer;Society for Environmental Economics and Policy Studies - SEEPS, vol. 16(3), pages 279-302, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:envpol:v:16:y:2014:i:3:p:279-302
    DOI: 10.1007/s10018-014-0079-9
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1007/s10018-014-0079-9
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10018-014-0079-9?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Vera-Diaz, Maria del Carmen & Kaufmann, Robert K. & Nepstad, Daniel C. & Schlesinger, Peter, 2008. "An interdisciplinary model of soybean yield in the Amazon Basin: The climatic, edaphic, and economic determinants," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 65(2), pages 420-431, April.
    2. Ding, Ya & Schoengold, Karina & Tadesse, Tsegaye, 2009. "The Impact of Weather Extremes on Agricultural Production Methods: Does Drought Increase Adoption of Conservation Tillage Practices?," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 34(3), pages 1-17, December.
    3. Reidsma, Pytrik & Ewert, Frank & Boogaard, Hendrik & Diepen, Kees van, 2009. "Regional crop modelling in Europe: The impact of climatic conditions and farm characteristics on maize yields," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 100(1-3), pages 51-60, April.
    4. Debertin, David L., 2012. "Agricultural Production Economics, Second Edition," Monographs: Applied Economics, AgEcon Search, number 158319, July.
    5. Trostle, Ronald, 2008. "Factors Contributing to Recent Increases in Food Commodity Prices (PowerPoint)," Seminars 43902, USDA Economists Group.
    6. J. Paul Elhorst, 2003. "Specification and Estimation of Spatial Panel Data Models," International Regional Science Review, , vol. 26(3), pages 244-268, July.
    7. Philip Abbott & Adeline Borot de Battisti, 2011. "Recent Global Food Price Shocks: Causes, Consequences and Lessons for African Governments and Donors-super- †," Journal of African Economies, Centre for the Study of African Economies, vol. 20(suppl_1), pages -62, May.
    8. Olivier Deschênes & Michael Greenstone, 2007. "The Economic Impacts of Climate Change: Evidence from Agricultural Output and Random Fluctuations in Weather," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 97(1), pages 354-385, March.
    9. Hansen, LeRoy T., 1991. "Farmer Response to Changes in Climate: The Case of Corn Production," Journal of Agricultural Economics Research, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service, vol. 43(4), pages 1-8.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Chandra Bahinipati & Unmesh Patnaik, 2015. "The damages from climatic extremes in India: do disaster-specific and generic adaptation measures matter?," Environmental Economics and Policy Studies, Springer;Society for Environmental Economics and Policy Studies - SEEPS, vol. 17(1), pages 157-177, January.
    2. Annelie Holzkämper, 2017. "Adapting Agricultural Production Systems to Climate Change—What’s the Use of Models?," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 7(10), pages 1-15, October.
    3. Floress, Kristin & Reimer, Adam & Thompson, Aaron & Burbach, Mark & Knutson, Cody & Prokopy, Linda & Ribaudo, Marc & Ulrich-Schad, Jessica, 2018. "Measuring farmer conservation behaviors: Challenges and best practices," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 414-418.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Emediegwu, Lotanna E. & Wossink, Ada & Hall, Alastair, 2022. "The impacts of climate change on agriculture in sub-Saharan Africa: A spatial panel data approach," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    2. Huang, Kaixing & Wang, Jinxia & Huang, Jikun & Findlay, Christopher, 2018. "The potential benefits of agricultural adaptation to warming in China in the long run," Environment and Development Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 23(2), pages 139-160, April.
    3. Kaixing Huang, 2015. "The Economic Impacts of Global Warming on Agriculture: the Role of Adaptation," School of Economics and Public Policy Working Papers 2015-20, University of Adelaide, School of Economics and Public Policy.
    4. repec:unu:wpaper:wp2012-19 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. R. P. Dayani Gunathilaka & James C. R. Smart & Christopher M. Fleming, 2017. "The impact of changing climate on perennial crops: the case of tea production in Sri Lanka," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 140(3), pages 577-592, February.
    6. Donato, Romano & Carraro, Alessandro, 2015. "Modelling Acreage, Production and Yield Supply Response to Domestic Price Volatility," 2015 Fourth Congress, June 11-12, 2015, Ancona, Italy 207278, Italian Association of Agricultural and Applied Economics (AIEAA).
    7. Abbott, Philip, 2012. "Foreign Assistance and the Food Crisis of 2007-08," WIDER Working Paper Series 019, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    8. Wimmer, Stefan & Stetter, Christian & Schmitt, Jonas & Ringer, Robert, 2022. "Farm-level responses to weather trends," 96th Annual Conference, April 4-6, 2022, K U Leuven, Belgium 321221, Agricultural Economics Society - AES.
    9. Queiroz, Pedro & Mariano, Denis, 2020. "The effect of remote sensing drought indicators on agricultural yield: Evidence from Southern Brazil," 2020 Annual Meeting, July 26-28, Kansas City, Missouri 304557, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    10. Lambert, David K., 2014. "Historical Impacts of Precipitation and Temperature on Farm Production in Kansas," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 46(4), pages 439-456, November.
    11. Xinde Ji & Kelly M. Cobourn, 2021. "Weather Fluctuations, Expectation Formation, and Short-Run Behavioral Responses to Climate Change," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 78(1), pages 77-119, January.
    12. Oussama Zouabi & Nicolas Peridy, 2015. "Direct and indirect effects of climate on agriculture: an application of a spatial panel data analysis to Tunisia," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 133(2), pages 301-320, November.
    13. Barbosa, Eduardo & Feres, José & Haddad, Eduardo & Paez, Antonio, 2012. "Climate Change and Land Use Pattern in Brazil," TD NEREUS 12-2012, Núcleo de Economia Regional e Urbana da Universidade de São Paulo (NEREUS).
    14. Shahbaz Bhatti & Sarfraz Hassan & Khalid Mushtaq & Kamran Javed, 2020. "Investigation The Impact Of Climate Change On Productivity Of Cotton: Empirical Evidence From Cotton Zone," Big Data In Agriculture (BDA), Zibeline International Publishing, vol. 2(1), pages 1-4, February.
    15. repec:rri:wpaper:201303 is not listed on IDEAS
    16. Konon, Alexander & Fritsch, Michael & Kritikos, Alexander S., 2018. "Business cycles and start-ups across industries: An empirical analysis of German regions," Journal of Business Venturing, Elsevier, vol. 33(6), pages 742-761.
    17. Alejandro Lopez-Feldman, 2013. "Climate change, agriculture, and poverty: A household level analysis for rural Mexico," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 33(2), pages 1126-1139.
    18. Pacheco, Pablo, 2009. "Agrarian Reform in the Brazilian Amazon: Its Implications for Land Distribution and Deforestation," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 37(8), pages 1337-1347, August.
    19. Steve Newbold & Charles Griffiths & Christopher C. Moore & Ann Wolverton & Elizabeth Kopits, 2010. "The "Social Cost of Carbon" Made Simple," NCEE Working Paper Series 201007, National Center for Environmental Economics, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, revised Aug 2010.
    20. Ning Zhang & Ying Mao, 2021. "Spatial Effects of Environmental Pollution on Healthcare Services: Evidence from China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(4), pages 1-21, February.
    21. Shimei Wu & Haotian Zhang, 2022. "The existence and mechanism of the domestic pollution haven hypothesis: evidence from 265 cities in China," Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, Springer, vol. 15(3), pages 287-310, December.
    22. Baltagi, Badi H. & Yen, Yin-Fang, 2014. "Hospital treatment rates and spillover effects: Does ownership matter?," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 193-202.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Weather; Climate change; Crop production; Yield; Agriculture; Management; Q18; Q54; Q57;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q18 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agricultural Policy; Food Policy; Animal Welfare Policy
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming
    • Q57 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Ecological Economics

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:envpol:v:16:y:2014:i:3:p:279-302. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.