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Uncertainty of outcome versus reputation: Empirical evidence for the First German Football Division

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Author Info
Georg Stadtmann () (Wissenschaftliche Hochschule für Unternehmensführung - Otto Beisheim Graduate School of Management, Burgplatz 2, D-56179 Vallendar)
Dirk Czarnitzki () (Centre for European Economic Research , P.O. Box 10 34 43, D-68304 Mannheim)

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Abstract

This paper deals with the determinants of match attendance in the German premier football league. We analyse uncertainty measures of match outcome as well as uncertainty of championship outcome. Furthermore, we incorporate supporter clubs, reputation, performance measures and weather effects as explanatory variables. Due to the limited capacity of the stadiums, observations on attendance are right censored in our sample. While other authors use the ordinary least squares estimator, which is inconsistent in this framework, we take this restriction implicitly in consideration by using a Tobit model. In conclusion, we show that reputation and goodwill are more important for attendance levels than the thrill of outcome uncertainty.1

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Springer in its journal Empirical Economics.

Volume (Year): 27 (2002)
Issue (Month): 1 ()
Pages: 101-112
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Handle: RePEc:spr:empeco:v:27:y:2002:i:1:p:101-112

Note: received: September 1999/Final version received: January 2001
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Related research
Keywords: Consumer Demand · Team Sports · Tobit Estimator;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
C24 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Truncated and Censored Models
D12 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Consumer Economics: Empirical Analysis

References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:

  1. Amemiya, Takeshi, 1973. "Regression Analysis when the Dependent Variable is Truncated Normal," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 41(6), pages 997-1016, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Peter J. Sloane, 2000. "The Regulation of Professional Team Sports," IASE Conference Papers 0003, International Association of Sports Economists. [Downloadable!]
  3. Peel, David A & Thomas, Dennis A, 1988. "Outcome Uncertainty and the Demand for Football: An Analysis of Match Attendances in the English Football League," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 35(3), pages 242-49, August.
  4. Peel, David A & Thomas, Dennis A, 1992. "The Demand for Football: Some Evidence on Outcome Uncertainty," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 17(2), pages 323-31.
  5. James Tobin, 1956. "Estimation of Relationships for Limited Dependent Variables," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 3R, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Rob Simmons & David Forrest & Babatunde Buraimo, 2004. "Outcome uncertainty and the couch potato audience," Working Papers 000298, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department. [Downloadable!]
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  2. Kevin Alavy & Alison Gaskell & Stephanie Leach & Stefan Szymanski, 2006. "On the Edge of Your Seat: Demand for Football on Television and the Uncertainty of Outcome Hypothesis," Working Papers 0631, International Association of Sports Economists. [Downloadable!]
  3. Rob Simmons & Babatunde Buraimo, 2006. "Market size and attendance in English Premier League football," Working Papers 003092, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department. [Downloadable!]
  4. Leif Brandes & Egon Franck & Stephan Nuesch, 2006. "Local Heroes and Superstars - An Empirical Analysis of Star Attraction in German Soccer," Working Papers 0046, University of Zurich, Institute for Strategy and Business Economics (ISU), revised 2007.
  5. Lief Brandes & Egon Franck, 2007. "Who Made Who – An Empirical Analysis of Competitive Balance in European Soccer Leagues," Eastern Economic Journal, Eastern Economic Association, vol. 33(3), pages 379-403, Summer. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
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