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Outcome Uncertainty and the Demand for Football: An Analysis of Match Attendances in the English Football League

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Author Info
Peel, David A
Thomas, Dennis A

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Abstract

This paper examines the predictive outcome, for match attendance, of a new measure of outcome uncertainty. This is the probability of home success as measured by posted fixed betting odds. The analysis is based on cross-section data and involves a sing le-equation model. The inclusion and measurement of variables is expl ained. The significant results involve the identification of a home w in as being of importance in determining match attendance, as well as the distance factor between clubs for the third and fourth divisions . Copyright 1988 by Scottish Economic Society.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Scottish Economic Society in its journal Scottish Journal of Political Economy.

Volume (Year): 35 (1988)
Issue (Month): 3 (August)
Pages: 242-49
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Handle: RePEc:bla:scotjp:v:35:y:1988:i:3:p:242-49

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  1. S. M. Dobson & J. A. Goddard, 1996. "The Demand for Football in the Regions of England and Wales," Regional Studies, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 30(5), pages 443-453, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Ferda HALICIOGLU, 2005. "The Degree Of Competition In The European Football Leagues: A Statistical Approach," Others 0508001, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
  3. Georg Stadtmann, 2006. "Frequent News and Pure Signals: The Case of a Publicly Traded Football Club," IASE Conference Papers 0625, International Association of Sports Economists. [Downloadable!]
  4. Ferda Halicioglu, 2005. "Can We Predict The Outcome Of The International Football Tournaments : The Case Of Euro 2000?," Microeconomics 0503008, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
  5. Kevin Alavy & Alison Gaskell & Stephanie Leach & Stefan Szymanski, 2006. "On the Edge of Your Seat: Demand for Football on Television and the Uncertainty of Outcome Hypothesis," Working Papers 0631, International Association of Sports Economists. [Downloadable!]
  6. Fiona Carmichael & Dennis Thomas & Robert Ward, 2000. "Team performance: the case of English Premiership football," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 21(1), pages 31-45.
  7. Georg Stadtmann, 2006. "Frequent News and Pure Signals: The Case of a Publicly Traded Football Club," Working Papers 0603, International Association of Sports Economists. [Downloadable!]
  8. HALICIOGLU, Ferda, 2006. "The impacts of football point systems on the competitive balance: evidence from some European footbal leagues," MPRA Paper 10798, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  9. Rob Simmons & Babatunde Buraimo, 2007. "A tale of two audiences: spectators, television viewers and outcome uncertainty in Spanish football," Working Papers 005289, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department. [Downloadable!]
  10. Czarnitzki, Dirk & Stadtmann, Georg, 1999. "Uncertainty of outcome versus reputation : empirical evidence for the First German Football Division," ZEW Discussion Papers 99-46, ZEW - Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung / Center for European Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
  11. Oliver Gürtler, 2005. "A rationale for the coexistence of central and decentral marketing in team sports," Bonn Econ Discussion Papers bgse4_2005, University of Bonn, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  12. Stephen Dobson, John Goddard, John O. S. Wilson, 2001. "League Structure and Match Attendances in English Rugby League," International Review of Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 15(3), pages 335-351, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  13. Ferda Halicioglu, 2005. "Do We Need a New Point System in Professional Football Leagues?," Others 0503004, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
  14. Ferda HALICIOGLU, 2005. "Forecasting the Professional Team Sporting Events: Evidence from Euro 2000 and 2004 Football Tournaments," Industrial Organization 0508001, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
  15. Halicioglu, Ferda, 2008. "Research on the Prediction of the likely Winners of the Euro 2008 Football Tournament," MPRA Paper 15567, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
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