IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/anresc/v64y2020i2d10.1007_s00168-019-00960-9.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Spatiotemporal methods for analysis of urban system dynamics: an application to Chile

Author

Listed:
  • Andrés Vallone

    (Universidad Autónoma de Madrid
    Universidad Católica del Norte)

  • Coro Chasco

    (Universidad Autónoma de Madrid
    Universidad Nebrija)

Abstract

This paper presents a methodological procedure to evaluate the influence of spatial proximity on evolution of cities to detect regional differences in their spatiotemporal dynamics. The six-step method based on a set of statistical methods can be computed with a new R package: estdaR. The first step consists of the usual characterization of the cross-sectional distribution of the urban areas by means of nonparametric estimations of density functions for a set of significant years. In the second and third steps, the growth process is modeled as a first-order stationary Markov chain to evaluate the effect of global and local spatial autocorrelation on the transition probabilities with a set of indices based on the spatial version of the standard Markov chain. The fourth, fifth, and sixth steps perform in-depth analysis to detect the existence and interaction of spatial regimes in the movement direction and ranking mobility of urban distribution. We apply this novel strategy for the period 1930–2002 to analyze the entire Chilean urban system—not only the Central Zone, in which most of the population and economic activities are concentrated, but also other urban zones in the country.

Suggested Citation

  • Andrés Vallone & Coro Chasco, 2020. "Spatiotemporal methods for analysis of urban system dynamics: an application to Chile," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 64(2), pages 421-454, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:anresc:v:64:y:2020:i:2:d:10.1007_s00168-019-00960-9
    DOI: 10.1007/s00168-019-00960-9
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s00168-019-00960-9
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s00168-019-00960-9?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Yannis M. Ioannides & Henry G. Overman, 2004. "Spatial evolution of the US urban system," Journal of Economic Geography, Oxford University Press, vol. 4(2), pages 131-156, April.
    2. Anthony J. Venables, 2005. "Spatial disparities in developing countries: cities, regions, and international trade," Journal of Economic Geography, Oxford University Press, vol. 5(1), pages 3-21, January.
    3. Evert Meijers & Martijn Burger & Gilles Duranton, 2016. "Determinants of city growth in Colombia," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 95(1), pages 101-131, March.
    4. Terry Gregory & Roberto Patuelli, 2015. "Demographic ageing and the polarization of regions—an exploratory space–time analysis," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 47(5), pages 1192-1210, May.
    5. J. Vernon Henderson, Zmarak Shalizi, and Anthony J. Venables, 2001. "Geography and development," Journal of Economic Geography, Oxford University Press, vol. 1(1), pages 81-105, January.
    6. Schmidheiny, Kurt & Suedekum, Jens, 2015. "The pan-European population distribution across consistently defined functional urban areas," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 133(C), pages 10-13.
    7. Massimiliano Agovino & Alessandro Crociata & Pier Luigi Sacco, 2016. "Location matters for pro-environmental behavior: a spatial Markov Chains approach to proximity effects in differentiated waste collection," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 56(1), pages 295-315, January.
    8. Francisco Rowe, 2017. "The CHilean Internal Migration (CHIM) database: Temporally consistent spatial data for the analysis of human mobility," REGION, European Regional Science Association, vol. 4, pages 1-6.
    9. Sergio J. Rey & Wei Kang & Levi Wolf, 2016. "The properties of tests for spatial effects in discrete Markov chain models of regional income distribution dynamics," Journal of Geographical Systems, Springer, vol. 18(4), pages 377-398, October.
    10. Frank Bickenbach & Eckhardt Bode, 2003. "Evaluating the Markov Property in Studies of Economic Convergence," International Regional Science Review, , vol. 26(3), pages 363-392, July.
    11. Kwok Tong Soo, 2014. "Zipf, Gibrat and geography: Evidence from China, India and Brazil," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 93(1), pages 159-181, March.
    12. José Manuel Casado-Díaz & Lucas Martínez-Bernabéu & Francisco Rowe, 2017. "An evolutionary approach to the delimitation of labour market areas: an empirical application for Chile," Spatial Economic Analysis, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(4), pages 379-403, October.
    13. Anderson, Gordon & Ge, Ying, 2005. "The size distribution of Chinese cities," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 35(6), pages 756-776, November.
    14. Luis Lanaspa & Fernando Pueyo & Fernando Sanz, 2003. "The Evolution of Spanish Urban Structure during the Twentieth Century," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 40(3), pages 567-580, March.
    15. Juan Soto & Dusan Paredes, 2016. "Cities, Wages, And The Urban Hierarchy," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 56(4), pages 596-614, September.
    16. Henderson, J. Vernon, 2005. "Urbanization and Growth," Handbook of Economic Growth, in: Philippe Aghion & Steven Durlauf (ed.), Handbook of Economic Growth, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 24, pages 1543-1591, Elsevier.
    17. Quah, Danny T., 1996. "Empirics for economic growth and convergence," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 40(6), pages 1353-1375, June.
    18. Wu, Jian-Xin & He, Ling-Yun, 2017. "How do Chinese cities grow? A distribution dynamics approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 470(C), pages 105-118.
    19. Mutlu, Servet, 1986. "City-Forming Propensities in a Central Place Hierarchy: Application of Beckmann-McPherson Model to the Turkish Urban System," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 20(2), pages 28-43, July.
    20. Desmet, Klaus & Henderson, J. Vernon, 2015. "The Geography of Development Within Countries," Handbook of Regional and Urban Economics, in: Gilles Duranton & J. V. Henderson & William C. Strange (ed.), Handbook of Regional and Urban Economics, edition 1, volume 5, chapter 0, pages 1457-1517, Elsevier.
    21. Davis, James C. & Henderson, J. Vernon, 2003. "Evidence on the political economy of the urbanization process," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(1), pages 98-125, January.
    22. Raffaele Paci & Stefano Usai, 2008. "Agglomeration economies, spatial dependence and local industry growth," Revue d'économie industrielle, De Boeck Université, vol. 0(3), pages 87-109.
    23. Sergio J. Rey, 2016. "Space–Time Patterns of Rank Concordance: Local Indicators of Mobility Association with Application to Spatial Income Inequality Dynamics," Annals of the American Association of Geographers, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 106(4), pages 788-803, July.
    24. Rey, Sergio, 2016. "Space-time patterns of rank concordance: Local indicators of mobility association with application to spatial income inequality dynamics," MPRA Paper 69480, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    25. M. Agovino, 2014. "Do “good neighbors” enhance regional performances in including disabled people in the labor market? A spatial Markov chain approach," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 53(1), pages 93-121, August.
    26. Volker Nitsch, 2015. "City Growth in Europe," Volkswirtschaftliche Schriften, Duncker & Humblot GmbH, Berlin, edition 1, volume 127, number 50499.
    27. Allen J. Scott, 2008. "Inside the City: On Urbanisation, Public Policy and Planning," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 45(4), pages 755-772, April.
    28. Philippe Aghion & Steven Durlauf (ed.), 2005. "Handbook of Economic Growth," Handbook of Economic Growth, Elsevier, edition 1, volume 1, number 1.
    29. Julie Le Gallo, 2004. "Space-Time Analysis of GDP Disparities among European Regions: A Markov Chains Approach," International Regional Science Review, , vol. 27(2), pages 138-163, April.
    30. Gilles Duranton & J. V. Henderson & William C. Strange (ed.), 2015. "Handbook of Regional and Urban Economics," Handbook of Regional and Urban Economics, Elsevier, edition 1, volume 5, number 5.
    31. Elizabeth Delmelle & Jean-Claude Thill & Chunhua Wang, 2016. "Spatial dynamics of urban neighborhood quality of life," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 56(3), pages 687-705, May.
    32. John Parr, 2012. "Spatial-structure differences between urban and regional systems," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 49(2), pages 293-303, October.
    33. Baeninger, Rosana, 1997. "Redistribución espacial de la población: características y tendencias del caso brasileño," Notas de Población, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), June.
    34. Sergio Rey & Alan Murray & Luc Anselin, 2011. "Visualizing regional income distribution dynamics," Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, Springer, vol. 4(1), pages 81-90, March.
    35. Xinyue Ye & Yichun Xie, 2012. "Re-examination of Zipf’s law and urban dynamic in China: a regional approach," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 49(1), pages 135-156, August.
    36. Jorge Rodríguez-Vignoli & Francisco Rowe, 2018. "How is internal migration reshaping metropolitan populations in Latin America? A new method and new evidence," Population Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 72(2), pages 253-273, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Coro Chasco & Maricruz Lacalle-Calderon & Javier Alfonso-Gil, 2021. "Spatial Diffusion of Civil Liberty," Revista Economía, Fondo Editorial - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú, vol. 44(87), pages 146-169.
    2. Harry Aginta, 2022. "Spatiotemporal analysis of regional inflation in an emerging country: The case of Indonesia," Regional Science Policy & Practice, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 14(3), pages 667-688, June.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Gilles Duranton & Diego Puga, 2023. "Urban Growth and Its Aggregate Implications," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 91(6), pages 2219-2259, November.
    2. Ramos, Arturo & Sanz-Gracia, Fernando, 2015. "US city size distribution revisited: Theory and empirical evidence," MPRA Paper 64051, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Wei Kang & Sergio J. Rey, 2018. "Conditional and joint tests for spatial effects in discrete Markov chain models of regional income distribution dynamics," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 61(1), pages 73-93, July.
    4. María Hierro & Adolfo Maza, 2015. "From Discrete To Continuous-Time Transition Matrices In Intra-Distribution Dynamics Analysis: An Application To Per Capita Wealth In Europe," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 67(3), pages 227-235, July.
    5. Steven Poelhekke & Frederick Van der Ploeg, 2008. "Growth, Foreign Direct Investment and Urban Concentrations: Unbundling Spatial Lags," CESifo Working Paper Series 2474, CESifo.
    6. Massimiliano Agovino & Massimiliano Cerciello & Aniello Ferraro & Antonio Garofalo, 2022. "A Regional Perspective on Social Exclusion in European Regions: Context, Trends and Policy Implications," Italian Economic Journal: A Continuation of Rivista Italiana degli Economisti and Giornale degli Economisti, Springer;Società Italiana degli Economisti (Italian Economic Association), vol. 8(2), pages 409-433, July.
    7. Sabyasachi Tripathi, 2013. "Do Large Agglomerations Lead To Economic Growth? Evidence From Urban India," Review of Urban & Regional Development Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(3), pages 176-200, November.
    8. Gilles Duranton, 2007. "From cities to productivity and growth in developing countries," Working Papers tecipa-306, University of Toronto, Department of Economics.
    9. Desmet, Klaus & Henderson, J. Vernon, 2015. "The Geography of Development Within Countries," Handbook of Regional and Urban Economics, in: Gilles Duranton & J. V. Henderson & William C. Strange (ed.), Handbook of Regional and Urban Economics, edition 1, volume 5, chapter 0, pages 1457-1517, Elsevier.
    10. Maarten Bosker & Waldo Krugell, 2008. "Regional Income Evolution In South Africa After Apartheid," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 48(3), pages 493-523, August.
    11. Eckey, Hans-Friedrich & Türck, Matthias, 2005. "Convergence of EU-regions: A literature report," Volkswirtschaftliche Diskussionsbeiträge 80, University of Kassel, Faculty of Economics and Management.
    12. Cheong, Tsun Se & Wu, Yanrui, 2013. "Regional disparity, transitional dynamics and convergence in China," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 1-14.
    13. Bo, Shiyu & Cheng, Chao, 2021. "Political hierarchy and urban primacy: Evidence from China," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(4), pages 933-946.
    14. Patricio Aroca & Dong Guo & Geoffrey J. D. Hewings, 2006. "Spatial Convergence in China: 1952-99," WIDER Working Paper Series RP2006-89, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    15. Chen, Ying & Henderson, J. Vernon & Cai, Wei, 2017. "Political favoritism in China’s capital markets and its effect on city sizes," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 69-87.
    16. Chauvin, Juan Pablo & Glaeser, Edward & Ma, Yueran & Tobio, Kristina, 2017. "What is different about urbanization in rich and poor countries? Cities in Brazil, China, India and the United States," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 17-49.
    17. Castells-Quintana, David, 2017. "Malthus living in a slum: Urban concentration, infrastructure and economic growth," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 158-173.
    18. Torres Solé, Teresa & Allepuz Capdevila, Rafael, 2009. "El desarrollo humano: perfiles y perspectivas futuras /Profiles and Prospects of the Human Development," Estudios de Economia Aplicada, Estudios de Economia Aplicada, vol. 27, pages 545-562, Agosto.
    19. Alexandra SCHAFFAR, 2008. "Regional Income Inequality And Urbanisation Trends In China: 1978-2005," Region et Developpement, Region et Developpement, LEAD, Universite du Sud - Toulon Var, vol. 28, pages 87-110.
    20. ANDRADE, Carlos & PINHO, Carlos & PINHO, Maria de Fátima, 2010. "Exploring Regional Convergence: Evidence From 19 European Countries, 1991-2008," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 10(2).

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • C21 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models
    • O18 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Urban, Rural, Regional, and Transportation Analysis; Housing; Infrastructure

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:anresc:v:64:y:2020:i:2:d:10.1007_s00168-019-00960-9. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.