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Implications of Transitory and Permanent Changes in Tax Rates for Poland

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  • Janusz Jabłonowski

Abstract

This article provides an analysis of the fiscal channel that assumes balancing between raised labour, capital and consumption tax rates and government consumption, calibrated for Polish data. The study is based on neoclassical, education-based semi-endogenous and exogenous growth models for a small closed economy, featuring a direct household utility from government consumption, extended to include monopolistic competition. Two perspectives are considered: 1) the transitory effects of the government consumption impulse on private consumption and 2) permanent changes in tax rates towards the top of the Laffer curve. The results of the transitory impulse confirm the crowding-in of private consumption in a fully competitive economy, but not for monopolistic competition. Permanent changes in tax rates, analysed from the perspective of the Laffer curves, show some room for higher tax revenues. Shifting the tax rates to the top of the Laffer curves improves tax revenues, but it significantly deteriorates key economic aggregates.

Suggested Citation

  • Janusz Jabłonowski, 2018. "Implications of Transitory and Permanent Changes in Tax Rates for Poland," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 2, pages 73-97.
    • Handle: RePEc:sgh:gosnar:y:2018:i:2:p:73-97
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Laffer curve; government spending; distortionary taxation; monopolistic competition; human capital; crowding in;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • H20 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - General
    • H21 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Efficiency; Optimal Taxation
    • H52 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Government Expenditures and Education
    • H60 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - General
    • J24 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Human Capital; Skills; Occupational Choice; Labor Productivity

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