IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/sae/urbstu/v53y2016i6p1203-1224.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The roles of developer’s status and competitive intensity in presale pricing in a residential market: A study of the spatio-temporal model in Hangzhou, China

Author

Listed:
  • Eddie Chi Man Hui

    (The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong)

  • Cong Liang

    (The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong)

  • Ziyou Wang

    (The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong)

  • Yuan Wang

    (East China Normal University, China)

Abstract

This study investigates the roles of developer’s status and competitive intensity in presale pricing in residential markets. The study examines various competitive factors in Hangzhou, China, within a spatial-temporal framework. These factors include competitive intensity and developer’s status, plus two independent variable groups: external attributes and project features. To overcome the shortcomings of traditional valuation methods, the estimation makes use of spatial and temporal data via three different approaches. They are the Geographically and Temporally Weighted Regressions (GTWR), Spatial Temporal Hedonic Model (STHM) and Spatial Temporal Autoregressive Model (STAR). The analysis reveals that there exists spatial and temporal dependence in the Hangzhou real estate market. Not only does this study provide new findings and a better understanding of the factors affecting presale pricing, but it also offers valuable implications about competitive intensity for policymakers and urban planners in the spatio-temporal context.

Suggested Citation

  • Eddie Chi Man Hui & Cong Liang & Ziyou Wang & Yuan Wang, 2016. "The roles of developer’s status and competitive intensity in presale pricing in a residential market: A study of the spatio-temporal model in Hangzhou, China," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 53(6), pages 1203-1224, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:urbstu:v:53:y:2016:i:6:p:1203-1224
    DOI: 10.1177/0042098015572317
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/0042098015572317
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1177/0042098015572317?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Bulan, Laarni & Mayer, Christopher & Somerville, C. Tsuriel, 2009. "Irreversible investment, real options, and competition: Evidence from real estate development," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 65(3), pages 237-251, May.
    2. Pace, R. Kelley & Barry, Ronald & Gilley, Otis W. & Sirmans, C. F., 2000. "A method for spatial-temporal forecasting with an application to real estate prices," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 16(2), pages 229-246.
    3. Jean Dubé & Diègo Legros, 2013. "Dealing with spatial data pooled over time in statistical models," Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, Springer, vol. 6(1), pages 1-18, March.
    4. R. Kelley Pace & James P. LeSage, 2004. "Spatial Statistics and Real Estate," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 29(2), pages 147-148, September.
    5. David Kim Hin Ho & Eddie Chi-man Hui & Muhammad Faishal Bin Ibrahim, 2009. "Asset Value Enhancement of Singapore’s Public Housing Main Upgrading Programme (MUP) Policy: A Real Option Analysis Approach," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 46(11), pages 2329-2361, October.
    6. Friso de Vor & Henri de Groot, 2011. "The Impact of Industrial Sites on Residential Property Values: A Hedonic Pricing Analysis from the Netherlands," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(5), pages 609-623.
    7. Ingrid Nappi‐Choulet Pr. & Tristan‐Pierre Maury, 2009. "A Spatiotemporal Autoregressive Price Index for the Paris Office Property Market," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 37(2), pages 305-340, June.
    8. Xiaolong Liu, 2013. "Spatial and Temporal Dependence in House Price Prediction," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 47(2), pages 341-369, August.
    9. Eddie C.M. Hui & Joe T.Y. Wong & K.T. Wong, 2012. "Marketing Time and Pricing Strategies," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 34(3), pages 375-398.
    10. Rose Neng Lai & Ko Wang & Yuqing Zhou, 2004. "Sale before Completion of Development: Pricing and Strategy," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 32(2), pages 329-357, June.
    11. Stanley McGreal & Paloma Taltavull de La Paz, 2013. "Implicit House Prices: Variation over Time and Space in Spain," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 50(10), pages 2024-2043, August.
    12. Robert Edelstein & Peng Liu & Fang Wu, 2012. "The Market for Real Estate Presales: A Theoretical Approach," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 45(1), pages 30-48, June.
    13. Bradford Case & John Clapp & Robin Dubin & Mauricio Rodriguez, 2004. "Modeling Spatial and Temporal House Price Patterns: A Comparison of Four Models," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 29(2), pages 167-191, September.
    14. Yefang Huang & Yee Leung, 2002. "Analysing regional industrialisation in Jiangsu province using geographically weighted regression," Journal of Geographical Systems, Springer, vol. 4(2), pages 233-249, June.
    15. Hall, John & Hofer, Charles W., 1993. "Venture capitalists' decision criteria in new venture evaluation," Journal of Business Venturing, Elsevier, vol. 8(1), pages 25-42, January.
    16. Rosen, Sherwin, 1974. "Hedonic Prices and Implicit Markets: Product Differentiation in Pure Competition," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 82(1), pages 34-55, Jan.-Feb..
    17. Christopher Bitter & Gordon Mulligan & Sandy Dall’erba, 2007. "Incorporating spatial variation in housing attribute prices: a comparison of geographically weighted regression and the spatial expansion method," Journal of Geographical Systems, Springer, vol. 9(1), pages 7-27, April.
    18. Can, Ayse, 1992. "Specification and estimation of hedonic housing price models," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 22(3), pages 453-474, September.
    19. Steven Bourassa & Eva Cantoni & Martin Hoesli, 2007. "Spatial Dependence, Housing Submarkets, and House Price Prediction," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 35(2), pages 143-160, August.
    20. Sunding, David L. & Swoboda, Aaron M., 2010. "Hedonic analysis with locally weighted regression: An application to the shadow cost of housing regulation in Southern California," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 40(6), pages 550-573, November.
    21. Dubin, Robin A., 1998. "Spatial Autocorrelation: A Primer," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 7(4), pages 304-327, December.
    22. Alan E. Gelfand & Mark D. Ecker & John R. Knight & C. F. Sirmans, 2004. "The Dynamics of Location in Home Price," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 29(2), pages 149-166, September.
    23. Zvi Griliches, 1961. "Hedonic Price Indexes for Automobiles: An Econometric of Quality Change," NBER Chapters, in: The Price Statistics of the Federal Goverment, pages 173-196, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    24. Su Chan & Ko Wang & Jing Yang, 2012. "Presale Contract and its Embedded Default and Abandonment Options," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 44(1), pages 116-152, January.
    25. A. F. Militino & M. D. Ugarte & L. García-Reinaldos, 2004. "Alternative Models for Describing Spatial Dependence among Dwelling Selling Prices," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 29(2), pages 193-209, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Xiaolong Liu, 2013. "Spatial and Temporal Dependence in House Price Prediction," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 47(2), pages 341-369, August.
    2. Jorge Chica-Olmo & Rafael Cano-Guervos & Mario Chica-Rivas, 2019. "Estimation of Housing Price Variations Using Spatio-Temporal Data," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-21, March.
    3. Juergen Deppner & Marcelo Cajias, 2024. "Accounting for Spatial Autocorrelation in Algorithm-Driven Hedonic Models: A Spatial Cross-Validation Approach," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 68(2), pages 235-273, February.
    4. Füss, Roland & Koller, Jan A., 2016. "The role of spatial and temporal structure for residential rent predictions," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(4), pages 1352-1368.
    5. Antonio Páez & Fei Long & Steven Farber, 2008. "Moving Window Approaches for Hedonic Price Estimation: An Empirical Comparison of Modelling Techniques," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 45(8), pages 1565-1581, July.
    6. Thanos, Sotirios & Dubé, Jean & Legros, Diègo, 2016. "Putting time into space: the temporal coherence of spatial applications in the housing market," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 78-88.
    7. Kato, Takafumi, 2012. "Prediction in the lognormal regression model with spatial error dependence," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 66-76.
    8. Natividad Guadalajara & Miguel Ángel López & Adina Iftimi & Antonio Usai, 2021. "Influence of the Cadastral Value of the Urban Land and Neighborhood Characteristics on the Mean House Mortgage Appraisal," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(3), pages 1-17, March.
    9. Jakob Winstrand, 2007. "Hedonic Valuation of Health Risks Due to Residential Radon," Energy and Environmental Modeling 2007 24000065, EcoMod.
    10. Are Oust & Simen N. Hansen & Tobias R. Pettrem, 2020. "Combining Property Price Predictions from Repeat Sales and Spatially Enhanced Hedonic Regressions," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 61(2), pages 183-207, August.
    11. Marco Helbich & Wolfgang Brunauer & Eric Vaz & Peter Nijkamp, 2014. "Spatial Heterogeneity in Hedonic House Price Models: The Case of Austria," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 51(2), pages 390-411, February.
    12. Steven Bourassa & Eva Cantoni & Martin Hoesli, 2007. "Spatial Dependence, Housing Submarkets, and House Price Prediction," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 35(2), pages 143-160, August.
    13. Jos魍ar𨁍ontero-Lorenzo & Beatriz Larraz-Iribas, 2012. "Space-time approach to commercial property prices valuation," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(28), pages 3705-3715, October.
    14. Ekaterina Chernobai & Michael Reibel & Michael Carney, 2011. "Nonlinear Spatial and Temporal Effects of Highway Construction on House Prices," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 42(3), pages 348-370, April.
    15. Sonia Yousfi & Jean Dubé & Diègo Legros & Sotirios Thanos, 2020. "Mass appraisal without statistical estimation: a simplified comparable sales approach based on a spatiotemporal matrix," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 64(2), pages 349-365, April.
    16. Wieser, Robert, 2009. "Parameterstabilität in hedonischen Bodenpreismodellen [Stability of Parameters in Hedonic Urban Land Price Models]," MPRA Paper 65859, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    17. Mark D. Ecker & Victor De Oliveira, 2007. "Bayesian Spatial Modeling of Housing Prices Subject to a Localized Externality," Working Papers 0030, College of Business, University of Texas at San Antonio.
    18. Daniel Lo & Kwong Wing Chau & Siu Kei Wong & Michael McCord & Martin Haran, 2022. "Factors Affecting Spatial Autocorrelation in Residential Property Prices," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-16, June.
    19. Alan T. K. Wan & Shangyu Xie & Yong Zhou, 2017. "A varying coefficient approach to estimating hedonic housing price functions and their quantiles," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(11), pages 1979-1999, August.
    20. Federico Dell’Anna & Marina Bravi & Carlos Marmolejo-Duarte & Marta Carla Bottero & Ai Chen, 2019. "EPC Green Premium in Two Different European Climate Zones: A Comparative Study between Barcelona and Turin," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(20), pages 1-21, October.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:sae:urbstu:v:53:y:2016:i:6:p:1203-1224. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: SAGE Publications (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.gla.ac.uk/departments/urbanstudiesjournal .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.