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Housing Shadow Prices in an Inundation-prone Suburb

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  • Alicia N. Rambaldi
  • Cameron S. Fletcher
  • Kerry Collins
  • Ryan R.J. McAllister

Abstract

For flood-prone urban areas, the prospect of increasing population densities and more frequent extreme weather associated with climate change is alarming. Proactive adaptation can reduce potential flood risks in theory. However, there is limited empirical economics exploring this issue, without which convincing residents within exposed areas to participate in adaptation is challenging. In this paper, a hedonic model is presented of property prices for a flood-prone inner-city suburb of Brisbane, Australia. The study defines a continuous flood-risk variable based on the vertical distances of properties relative to a flood level that occurs on average once every 100 years. The results show significant property-price discounting of 5.5 per cent per metre below the defined flood level. Detailed hedonic characteristics also provided shadow price estimates of housing characteristics and distances to amenities (such as bus-stops, train-stations, parks and bikeways) and these hedonics need to be considered when holistically assessing the dynamics of suburbs for adaptation planning.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Urban Studies Journal Limited in its journal Urban Studies.

Volume (Year): 50 (2013)
Issue (Month): 9 (July)
Pages: 1889-1905

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Handle: RePEc:sae:urbstu:v:50:y:2013:i:9:p:1889-1905

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Web page: http://www.gla.ac.uk/departments/urbanstudiesjournal

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  1. Vanessa E. Daniel & Raymond J.G.M. Florax & Piet Rietveld, 2007. "Flooding Risk And Housing Values: An Economic Assessment Of Environmental Hazard," Working Papers 07-02, Purdue University, College of Agriculture, Department of Agricultural Economics.
  2. Jim Hall & Paul Sayers & Richard Dawson, 2005. "National-scale Assessment of Current and Future Flood Risk in England and Wales," Natural Hazards, International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 36(1), pages 147-164, 09.
  3. Okmyung Bin & Jamie Brown Kruse & Craig E. Landry, 2008. "Flood Hazards, Insurance Rates, and Amenities: Evidence From the Coastal Housing Market," Journal of Risk & Insurance, The American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 75(1), pages 63-82.
  4. Michael Ball, 2011. "Planning Delay and the Responsiveness of English Housing Supply," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 48(2), pages 349-362, February.
  5. G. Sirmans & Lynn MacDonald & David Macpherson & Emily Zietz, 2006. "The Value of Housing Characteristics: A Meta Analysis," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 33(3), pages 215-240, November.
  6. Ghebreegziabiher Debrezion & Eric Pels & Piet Rietveld, 2006. "The Impact of Rail Transport on Real Estate Prices: An Empirical Analysis of the Dutch Housing Market," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 06-031/3, Tinbergen Institute.
  7. St├ęphane Hallegatte & Jan Corfee-Morlot, 2011. "Understanding climate change impacts, vulnerability and adaptation at city scale: an introduction," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 104(1), pages 1-12, January.
  8. Sorada Tapsuwan & Gordon Ingram & Michael Burton & Donna Brennan, 2009. "Capitalized amenity value of urban wetlands: a hedonic property price approach to urban wetlands in Perth, Western Australia ," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 53(4), pages 527-545, October.
  9. James Hansen, 2009. "Australian House Prices: A Comparison of Hedonic and Repeat-Sales Measures," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 85(269), pages 132-145, 06.
  10. Speyrer, Janet Furman & Ragas, Wade R, 1991. "Housing Prices and Flood Risk: An Examination Using Spline Regression," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 4(4), pages 395-407, December.
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