IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/sae/toueco/v28y2022i3p583-598.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Transport modes and tourism seasonality in Italy: By air or by road?

Author

Listed:
  • Anna Serena Vergori

    (University of Salento, Italy)

  • Serena Arima

    (Sapienza University of Rome, Italy)

Abstract

From the late 1990s, the European air transport deregulation has led to the increasing use of the plane to reach tourist destinations. This article investigates the impact of tourists’ changed traveling habits on Italy’s seasonal tourism demand pattern. The role of transportation on seasonality, indeed, has been almost neglected in empirical research. We analyze international monthly arrivals by transport modes from 1997 to 2018, and we use the Gini index as a measure of seasonality. The Gini’s decomposition allows us to evaluate the effects of the growth in the use of each transport mode (cars, planes, ships, trains) on seasonality. A beta regression model confirms that an increment in the proportion of tourist arrivals by airplane determines a reduction in Italy’s overall seasonality of international tourism demand. These results might be a starting point for policy makers in developing strategies to counteract seasonality.

Suggested Citation

  • Anna Serena Vergori & Serena Arima, 2022. "Transport modes and tourism seasonality in Italy: By air or by road?," Tourism Economics, , vol. 28(3), pages 583-598, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:sae:toueco:v:28:y:2022:i:3:p:583-598
    DOI: 10.1177/1354816620974563
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/1354816620974563
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1177/1354816620974563?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Aleksandra Grobelna & Katarzyna Skrzeszewska, 2019. "Seasonality: Is it a Problem or Challenge Facing Future Tourism Employment? Implications for Management," Journal of Entrepreneurship, Management and Innovation, Fundacja Upowszechniająca Wiedzę i Naukę "Cognitione", vol. 15(1), pages 205-230.
    2. Fernández-Morales, Antonio & Cisneros-Martínez, José David & McCabe, Scott, 2016. "Seasonal concentration of tourism demand: Decomposition analysis and marketing implications," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 172-190.
    3. Tingzhen Chen & Philip L. Pearce, 2012. "Research Note: Seasonality Patterns in Asian Tourism," Tourism Economics, , vol. 18(5), pages 1105-1115, October.
    4. Eugeni Aguiló & Teresa Palmer & Jaume Rosselló, 2012. "Road Transport for Tourism: Evaluating Policy Measures from Consumer Profiles," Tourism Economics, , vol. 18(2), pages 281-293, April.
    5. Hough, Gary & Hassanien, Ahmed, 2010. "Transport choice behaviour of Chinese and Australian tourists in Scotland," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 26(1), pages 54-65.
    6. Chung, Jin Young & Whang, Taehee, 2011. "The impact of low cost carriers on Korean Island tourism," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 19(6), pages 1335-1340.
    7. Cuccia, Tiziana & Rizzo, Ilde, 2011. "Tourism seasonality in cultural destinations: Empirical evidence from Sicily," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 589-595.
    8. Rey, Belén & Myro, Rafael L. & Galera, Asun, 2011. "Effect of low-cost airlines on tourism in Spain. A dynamic panel data model," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 17(3), pages 163-167.
    9. John Coshall & Richard Charlesworth & Stephen J. Page, 2015. "Seasonality of Overseas Tourism Demand in Scotland: A Regional Analysis," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(10), pages 1603-1620, October.
    10. Raphael Raymond Bar-On, 1999. "The Measurement of Seasonality and its Economic Impacts," Tourism Economics, , vol. 5(4), pages 437-458, December.
    11. Patricia Espinheira & Silvia Ferrari & Francisco Cribari-Neto, 2008. "On beta regression residuals," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(4), pages 407-419.
    12. Graham, Anne & Dennis, Nigel, 2010. "The impact of low cost airline operations to Malta," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 16(3), pages 127-136.
    13. Silvia Ferrari & Francisco Cribari-Neto, 2004. "Beta Regression for Modelling Rates and Proportions," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(7), pages 799-815.
    14. Canova, Fabio & Hansen, Bruce E, 1995. "Are Seasonal Patterns Constant over Time? A Test for Seasonal Stability," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 13(3), pages 237-252, July.
    15. Duro, Juan Antonio, 2016. "Seasonality of hotel demand in the main Spanish provinces: Measurements and decomposition exercises," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 52-63.
    16. Konstantinos Andriotis, 2005. "Seasonality in Crete: Problem or a Way of Life?," Tourism Economics, , vol. 11(2), pages 207-224, June.
    17. Graham, Anne, 2006. "Have the major forces driving leisure airline traffic changed?," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 12(1), pages 14-20.
    18. Cribari-Neto, Francisco & Zeileis, Achim, 2010. "Beta Regression in R," Journal of Statistical Software, Foundation for Open Access Statistics, vol. 34(i02).
    19. Stefano De Cantis & Mauro Ferrante & Franco Vaccina, 2011. "Seasonal Pattern and Amplitude – a Logical Framework to Analyse Seasonality in Tourism: An Application to Bed Occupancy in Sicilian Hotels," Tourism Economics, , vol. 17(3), pages 655-675, June.
    20. Donzelli, Matteo, 2010. "The effect of low-cost air transportation on the local economy: Evidence from Southern Italy," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 16(3), pages 121-126.
    21. Giovanni Maria Giorgi, 2011. "Corrado Gini: the man and the scientist," Metron - International Journal of Statistics, Dipartimento di Statistica, Probabilità e Statistiche Applicate - University of Rome, vol. 0(1), pages 1-28.
    22. Anna Serena Vergori, 2017. "Patterns of seasonality and tourism demand forecasting," Tourism Economics, , vol. 23(5), pages 1011-1027, August.
    23. Pagliara, Francesca & La Pietra, Andrea & Gomez, Juan & Manuel Vassallo, José, 2015. "High Speed Rail and the tourism market: Evidence from the Madrid case study," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 187-194.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Jing Zhang & Zhonglei Yu & Changhong Miao & Yuting Li & Shuai Qiao, 2022. "Cultural Tourism Weakens Seasonality: Empirical Analysis of Chinese Tourism Cities," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-14, February.
    2. Alessandro V. M. Oliveira, 2024. "The seasonality of air ticket prices before and after the pandemic," Papers 2402.13789, arXiv.org.
    3. Boto-García, David & Pérez, Levi, 2023. "The effect of high-speed rail connectivity and accessibility on tourism seasonality," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Frédéric Dobruszkes & Jean-Michel Decroly & Pere Suau-Sanchez, 2022. "The monthly rhythms of aviation: A global analysis of passenger air service seasonality," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/341140, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    2. Boto-García, David & Pérez, Levi, 2023. "The effect of high-speed rail connectivity and accessibility on tourism seasonality," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
    3. Nidal Alzboun, 2018. "Measuring Seasonality of Tourism Demand in Petra, Jordan (2006-2017)," Modern Applied Science, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 12(9), pages 131-131, September.
    4. Luigi Grossi & Mauro Mussini, 2019. "Seasonality in tourist flows: Decomposing and testing changes in seasonal concentration," Working Papers 16/2019, University of Verona, Department of Economics.
    5. Duro Moreno, Juan Antonio & Turrión Prats, Judith, 2018. "Tourism seasonality worldwide," Working Papers 2072/351586, Universitat Rovira i Virgili, Department of Economics.
    6. Antonio Fern�ndez-Morales, 2017. "Tourism Mobility In Time And Seasonality In Tourism," RIEDS - Rivista Italiana di Economia, Demografia e Statistica - The Italian Journal of Economic, Demographic and Statistical Studies, SIEDS Societa' Italiana di Economia Demografia e Statistica, vol. 71(2), pages 21-30, April-Jun.
    7. Albalate, Daniel & Fageda, Xavier, 2016. "High speed rail and tourism: Empirical evidence from Spain," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 174-185.
    8. Dobruszkes, Frédéric & Mondou, Véronique & Ghedira, Aymen, 2016. "Assessing the impacts of aviation liberalisation on tourism: Some methodological considerations derived from the Moroccan and Tunisian cases," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 115-127.
    9. Dimitrios Tsiotas & Thomas Krabokoukis & Serafeim Polyzos, 2021. "Detecting Tourism Typologies of Regional Destinations Based on Their Spatio-Temporal and Socioeconomic Performance: A Correlation-Based Complex Network Approach for the Case of Greece," Tourism and Hospitality, MDPI, vol. 2(1), pages 1-27, February.
    10. Dobruszkes, Frédéric & Mondou, Véronique, 2013. "Aviation liberalization as a means to promote international tourism: The EU–Morocco case," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 23-34.
    11. Dimitrios TSIOTAS & Thomas KRABOKOUKIS & Serafeim POLYZOS, 2020. "Detecting Interregional Patterns In Tourism Seasonality Of Greece: A Principal Components Analysis Approach," Regional Science Inquiry, Hellenic Association of Regional Scientists, vol. 0(2), pages 91-112, June.
    12. Vieira, José & Câmara, Gualter & Silva, Francisco & Santos, Carlos, 2019. "Airline choice and tourism growth in the Azores," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 1-6.
    13. Stephen Pratt & Markus Schuckert, 2019. "Economic impact of low-cost carrier in a saturated transport market: Net benefits or zero-sum game?," Tourism Economics, , vol. 25(2), pages 149-170, March.
    14. Bulatovic, Iva & Papatheodorou, Andreas, 2023. "Civil aviation and tourism demand in Montenegro: A panel data approach," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 25-36.
    15. à lvarez-Díaz, Marcos & González-Gómez, Manuel & Otero-Giráldez, María Soledad, 2019. "Low cost airlines and international tourism demand. The case of Porto's airport in the northwest of the Iberian Peninsula," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 1-1.
    16. Eugenio-Martin, Juan L. & Inchausti-Sintes, Federico, 2016. "Low-cost travel and tourism expenditures," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 140-159.
    17. Hong Tsui, Kan Wai, 2017. "Does a low-cost carrier lead the domestic tourism demand and growth of New Zealand?," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 390-403.
    18. Hsu, Chia-Jui & Yen, Jin-Ru & Chang, Yu-Chun & Woon, Hui Kee, 2016. "How do the services of low cost carriers affect passengers' behavioral intentions to revisit a destination?," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 111-116.
    19. Bilotkach, Volodymyr & Kawata, Keisuke & Kim, Tae Seung & Park, Jaehong & Purwandono, Putut & Yoshida, Yuichiro, 2019. "Quantifying the impact of low-cost carriers on international air passenger movements to and from major airports in Asia," International Journal of Industrial Organization, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 28-57.
    20. Martínez, José Manuel Guaita & Martín, José María Martín & Rey, María del Sol Ostos, 2020. "An analysis of the changes in the seasonal patterns of tourist behavior during a process of economic recovery," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:sae:toueco:v:28:y:2022:i:3:p:583-598. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: SAGE Publications (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.