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Seasonality of hotel demand in the main Spanish provinces: Measurements and decomposition exercises

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  • Duro, Juan Antonio

Abstract

This paper analyses the seasonal concentration of tourist activity in the main Spanish provinces for the period 1999–2012, taking hotel nights as the indicator of reference. We propose using several standard summary measures in order to evaluate the level, evolution and some decompositions. Our main results can be summarized as follows: first, across the whole country and especially since 2007, there is a growth in seasonality; second, seasonal concentration is greatest in the Balearic Islands and two of the Catalan provinces, and least in Madrid and the Canary Island provinces; third, although the overall patterns typically agree, nevertheless, in some provinces the indexes we deal with show some discrepancies; fourth, the decomposition of the monthly concentration by major markets typically indicates the main role played by the foreign component; finally, the overall evidence does not support the thesis that the domestic market offsets the foreign one.

Suggested Citation

  • Duro, Juan Antonio, 2016. "Seasonality of hotel demand in the main Spanish provinces: Measurements and decomposition exercises," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 52-63.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:touman:v:52:y:2016:i:c:p:52-63
    DOI: 10.1016/j.tourman.2015.06.013
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    5. Fernández-Morales, Antonio & Cisneros-Martínez, José David & McCabe, Scott, 2016. "Seasonal concentration of tourism demand: Decomposition analysis and marketing implications," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 172-190.
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    12. Turrión Prats, Judith & Duro Moreno, Juan Antonio, 2017. "The Seasonality of Demand in Spanish Tourist Municipalities: Analysis and Determinants," Working Papers 2072/306518, Universitat Rovira i Virgili, Department of Economics.
    13. Saito, Taiga & Takahashi, Akihiko & Koide, Noriaki & Ichifuji, Yu, 2019. "Application of online booking data to hotel revenue management," International Journal of Information Management, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 37-53.
    14. Antonio Fern�ndez-Morales, 2017. "Tourism Mobility In Time And Seasonality In Tourism," RIEDS - Rivista Italiana di Economia, Demografia e Statistica - The Italian Journal of Economic, Demographic and Statistical Studies, SIEDS Societa' Italiana di Economia Demografia e Statistica, vol. 71(2), pages 21-30, April-Jun.
    15. Lo Magno, Giovanni L. & Ferrante, Mauro & De Cantis, Stefano, 2017. "A new index for measuring seasonality: A transportation cost approach," Mathematical Social Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 55-65.
    16. Martínez, José Manuel Guaita & Martín, José María Martín & Rey, María del Sol Ostos, 2020. "An analysis of the changes in the seasonal patterns of tourist behavior during a process of economic recovery," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).
    17. Boto-García, David & Pérez, Levi, 2023. "The effect of high-speed rail connectivity and accessibility on tourism seasonality," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
    18. Nidal Alzboun, 2018. "Measuring Seasonality of Tourism Demand in Petra, Jordan (2006-2017)," Modern Applied Science, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 12(9), pages 131-131, September.
    19. Dehui Christina Geng & John L. Innes & Wanli Wu & Weiwei Wang & Guangyu Wang, 2021. "Seasonal Variation in Visitor Satisfaction and Its Management Implications in Banff National Park," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(4), pages 1-17, February.
    20. Eli Marušić & Joško Šoda & Maja Krčum, 2020. "The Three-Parameter Classification Model of Seasonal Fluctuations in the Croatian Nautical Port System," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(12), pages 1-17, June.
    21. Boto-García, David & Pérez, Leví, 2023. "Tourism seasonality and gambling: The role of a new casino's opening," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    22. Rosselló, Jaume & Sansó, Andreu, 2017. "Yearly, monthly and weekly seasonality of tourism demand: A decomposition analysis," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 379-389.
    23. Zou, Li & Reynolds-Feighan, Aisling & Yu, Chunyan, 2022. "Airline seasonality: An explorative analysis of major low-cost carriers in Europe and the United States," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).

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