IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/rfa/aefjnl/v6y2019i3p87-104.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Impact of the Exchange Rate and Price Volatility on FDI Inflows: Case of Morocco and Turkey

Author

Listed:
  • Azzouzi Asmae
  • Bousselhami Ahmed

Abstract

This paper aims to examine empirically the impact of price and real exchange rate volatility on Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in?ows. The sample used is based on the Mediterranean countries of Morocco and Turkey for the period 1990-2017. Empirical findings for Morocco revealing that in both short and long-terms, real exchange rate volatility is negative and highly significant. Price volatility depicts a positive effect, which means that greater volatility of inflation may cause greater marginal profitability of capital and hence increase investment. On the other hand, for Turkey, FDI inflows are found more elastic to domestic price fluctuations. The exchange rate volatility, instead, turned out to have a positive but insignificant effect. In addition, we found that the potential market size rate, institution quality, and infrastructure appear to be the key factors in attracting foreign capital in both countries. As for trade openness, a positive effect on FDI flows is only perceptible in Morocco. In addition, the series of structural reforms carried out by Turkish government have generated real benefits for foreign investors by creating the adequate environment. This has allowed Turkey to overcome the problems it was facing in attracting foreign investment during the period analysed.

Suggested Citation

  • Azzouzi Asmae & Bousselhami Ahmed, 2019. "Impact of the Exchange Rate and Price Volatility on FDI Inflows: Case of Morocco and Turkey," Applied Economics and Finance, Redfame publishing, vol. 6(3), pages 87-104, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:rfa:aefjnl:v:6:y:2019:i:3:p87-104
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://redfame.com/journal/index.php/aef/article/view/4218/4425
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: http://redfame.com/journal/index.php/aef/article/view/4218
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Kenneth A. Froot & Jeremy C. Stein, 1991. "Exchange Rates and Foreign Direct Investment: An Imperfect Capital Markets Approach," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 106(4), pages 1191-1217.
    2. Avinash K. Dixit & Robert S. Pindyck, 1994. "Investment under Uncertainty," Economics Books, Princeton University Press, edition 1, number 5474.
    3. D. Alba, Joseph & Park, Donghyun & Wang, Peiming, 2010. "Corporate Governance and Foreign Direct Investment," ADB Economics Working Paper Series 202, Asian Development Bank.
    4. Silvia Dal Bianco & Chiara Amini & Marcello Signorelli, 2017. "The Impact of the Global Financial Crisis and the Role of External and Internal Factors in Emerging Economies," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(2), pages 229-249, February.
    5. Takao Itagaki, 1981. "The Theory of the Multinational Firm under Exchange Rate Uncertainty," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 14(2), pages 276-297, May.
    6. Ray Barrell, 2003. "Foreign Direct Investment and Exchange Rate Uncertainty in Imperfectly Competitive Industries," National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers 220, National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
    7. Mr. Joshua Aizenman, 1992. "Exchange Rate Flexibility, Volatility and the Patterns of Domestic and Foreign Direct Investment," IMF Working Papers 1992/020, International Monetary Fund.
    8. Ramey, Garey & Ramey, Valerie A, 1995. "Cross-Country Evidence on the Link between Volatility and Growth," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 85(5), pages 1138-1151, December.
    9. Andrew Abbott & David O. Cushman & Glauco De Vita, 2012. "Exchange Rate Regimes and Foreign Direct Investment Flows to Developing Countries," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 20(1), pages 95-107, February.
    10. Hartman, Richard, 1972. "The effects of price and cost uncertainty on investment," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 5(2), pages 258-266, October.
    11. Gabriela López Noria & Juan José Zamudio Fernández, 2018. "The effect of uncertainty on foreign direct investment: The case of Mexico," Estudios Económicos, El Colegio de México, Centro de Estudios Económicos, vol. 33(1), pages 117-149.
    12. Abel, Andrew B, 1983. "Optimal Investment under Uncertainty," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 73(1), pages 228-233, March.
    13. Milner, Helen V. & Kubota, Keiko, 2005. "Why the Move to Free Trade? Democracy and Trade Policy in the Developing Countries," International Organization, Cambridge University Press, vol. 59(1), pages 107-143, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Anthony Enisan Akinlo & Olufemi Gbenga Onatunji, 2021. "Exchange Rate Volatility And Foreign Direct Investment In Selected West African Countries," The International Journal of Business and Finance Research, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 15(1), pages 77-88.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Deseatnicov, Ivan & Klochko, Olga, 2023. "Currency risk and the dynamics of German investors entry and exit in Russia," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    2. Panagiotidis, Theodore & Printzis, Panagiotis, 2020. "What is the investment loss due to uncertainty?," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 45(C).
    3. N. Bloom, 2016. "Fluctuations in uncertainty," Voprosy Ekonomiki, NP Voprosy Ekonomiki, issue 4.
    4. Goldberg, Linda S & Kolstad, Charles D, 1995. "Foreign Direct Investment, Exchange Rate Variability and Demand Uncertainty," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 36(4), pages 855-873, November.
    5. Klaus Mohn & Petter Osmundsen, 2011. "Asymmetry and uncertainty in capital formation: an application to oil investment," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(28), pages 4387-4401.
    6. Joshua Aizenman & Nancy Marion, 1995. "Volatility, Investment and Disappointment Aversion," NBER Working Papers 5386, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    7. Matthias Busse & Carsten Hefeker & Signe Nelgen, 2013. "Foreign Direct Investment and Exchange Rate Regimes," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 33(1), pages 843-858.
    8. Mecikovsky, Ariel & Meier, Matthias, 2014. "Do plants freeze upon uncertainty shocks?," EconStor Preprints 100662, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    9. Campa, Jose & Goldberg, Linda S., 1995. "Investment in manufacturing, exchange rates and external exposure," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 38(3-4), pages 297-320, May.
    10. Nicholas Bloom, 2009. "The Impact of Uncertainty Shocks," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 77(3), pages 623-685, May.
    11. Silvia Dal Bianco & Nguyen Cong To Loan, 2017. "FDI Inflows, Price and Exchange Rate Volatility: New Empirical Evidence from Latin America," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 5(1), pages 1-17, February.
    12. Lee, Bong-Soo & Min, Byung S., 2011. "Exchange rates and FDI strategies of multinational enterprises," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 19(5), pages 586-603, November.
    13. Cushman, David O. & De Vita, Glauco, 2017. "Exchange rate regimes and FDI in developing countries: A propensity score matching approach," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 143-163.
    14. Firoozi, Fathali, 1997. "Multinationals FDI and uncertainty: an exposition," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 7(3), pages 265-273, October.
    15. Hiluf Techane Gidey & Naser Yenus Nuru, 2021. "Exchange Rate Uncertainty Effects on Domestic Investment in South Africa," Margin: The Journal of Applied Economic Research, National Council of Applied Economic Research, vol. 15(3), pages 338-352, August.
    16. Anubha Dhasmana, 2021. "Employment growth in the face of exchange rate uncertainty: The role of trade and foreign equity finance," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 88(1), pages 79-117, July.
    17. Warren Moraghen & Boopen Seetanah & Noor Sookia, 2021. "Impact of exchange rate and exchange rate volatility on foreign direct investment inflow for Mauritius: A dynamic time series approach," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 33(4), pages 581-591, December.
    18. Joshua Aizenman & Brian Pinto, 2004. "Managing Volatility and Crises: A Practitioner's Guide Overview," NBER Working Papers 10602, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    19. Michael Effah Asamoah & Imhotep Paul Alagidede & Frank Adu, 2022. "Exchange rate uncertainty and foreign direct investment in Africa: Does financial development matter?," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(2), pages 878-898, May.
    20. Paul A. de Hek, 2002. "Endogenous Technological Change under Uncertainty," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 02-047/2, Tinbergen Institute, revised 08 Nov 2002.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:rfa:aefjnl:v:6:y:2019:i:3:p87-104. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Redfame publishing (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/cepflch.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.