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The halo effect, private knowledge and retirement fund choice: A theoretical model for the case of Mexico's Afores

Author

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  • Luis Raul Rodriguez Reyes

    (Instituto Tecnologico y de Estudios Superiores de Occidente)

Abstract

Empirical evidence shows that Mexican workers frequently chose a lower-yielding retirement savings manager over a higher-yielding one, damaging their prospects for retirement income. This research paper shows that such puzzling behavior can occur as a product of the unobservable private history between workers and the companies clustered around a common brand-name, in an example of what is known as the halo effect. To support this hypothesis, a theoretical model of private knowledge and subjective probability with long-term commitment is built. Results are consistent with the idea that private-knowledge-induced halo effect can produce a rational decision process to yield an apparently irrational outcome.

Suggested Citation

  • Luis Raul Rodriguez Reyes, 2018. "The halo effect, private knowledge and retirement fund choice: A theoretical model for the case of Mexico's Afores," EconoQuantum, Revista de Economia y Finanzas, Universidad de Guadalajara, Centro Universitario de Ciencias Economico Administrativas, Departamento de Metodos Cuantitativos y Maestria en Economia., vol. 15(2), pages 7-20, Julio-Dic.
    • Handle: RePEc:qua:journl:v:15:y:2018:i:2:p:7-20
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Solange Berstein Jáuregui & Carolina Cabrita Felix, 2007. "Los determinantes de la elección de AFP en Chile: nueva evidencia a partir de datos individuales," Estudios de Economia, University of Chile, Department of Economics, vol. 34(1 Year 20), pages 53-72, June.
    2. Solange Berstein & José Luis Ruiz V, 2005. "Sensibilidad de la Demanda con Consumidores Desinformados: El Caso de las AFP en Chile," Working Papers 4, Superintendencia de Pensiones, revised Apr 2005.
    3. John G. Wilson, 1986. "Subjective Probability and the Prisoner's Dilemma," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 32(1), pages 45-55, January.
    4. Jorge Miranda, 2013. "Proyección de pensión personalizada en Chile: Evaluación de su impacto en la decisión de jubilación," Estudios de Economia, University of Chile, Department of Economics, vol. 40(2 Year 20), pages 211-246, December.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Halo effect; retirement; private knowledge; AFORE.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D82 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Asymmetric and Private Information; Mechanism Design
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G41 - Financial Economics - - Behavioral Finance - - - Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on Decision Making in Financial Markets
    • H55 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Social Security and Public Pensions
    • J26 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Retirement; Retirement Policies

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