Fiscal Adjustments in OECD Countries: Composition and Macroeconomic Effects
AbstractThis paper studies how the composition of fiscal adjustments influences their likelihood of "success," defined as a long-lasting deficit reduction, and their macroeconomic consequences. We find that fiscal adjustments that rely primarily on spending cuts in transfers and the government wage bill have a better chance of success and are expansionary. On the contrary, fiscal adjustments that rely primarily on tax increases and cuts in public investment tend not to last and are contractionary. We discuss alternative explanations for these findings by studying a full sample of members of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development and by focusing on three case studies: Denmark, Ireland, and Italy.
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Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by Palgrave Macmillan in its journal Staff Papers - International Monetary Fund.
Volume (Year): 44 (1997)
Issue (Month): 2 (June)
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Find related papers by JEL classification:
- H1 - Public Economics - - Structure and Scope of Government
- H5 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies
- E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy
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