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Indicators of Fiscal Policy: A Re-Examination

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Author Info
Jean-Claude Chouraqui
Robert P. Hagemann
Nicola Sartor

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Abstract

During the past decade, the formulation of fiscal policy has been increasingly founded on medium-term considerations associated with public debt and economic efficiency. In this regard, this paper, and the ones by Olivier Blanchard and Edward Gramlich in the same Working Paper Series, considers the implications of this development for the overall appraisal of fiscal policy in OECD countries. The paper begins with a review of the existing measure of discretionary change in budget positions and proposes refinements to it. The paper then introduces and illustrates several new indicators designed to help assess the sustainability of policies in the short- and medium-run and their first-round impacts on aggregate demand ...


Au cours de la dernière décennie, la formulation des politiques budgétaires a reposé de façon croissante sur des considérations à moyen terme prenant en compte l'endettement du secteur public et le souci d'efficacité économique. A cet égard, cette étude, ainsi que celles d'Olivier Blanchard et d'Edward Gramlich qui paraissent dans cette même série des Documents de Travail de l'OCDE, examine les conséquences qu'une telle évolution implique pour l'appréciation globale des politiques budgétaires menées dans les pays Membres de l'OCDE. L'étude commence par un rappel des méthodes visant à mesurer la part attribuable à l'action des pouvoirs publics dans les variations de soldes budgétaires, et suggère d'y apporter certaines améliorations. Elle présente ensuite un certain nombre d'indicateurs nouveaux permettant d'évaluer, d'une part, le caractère soutenable ou non dans le court et moyen terme des politiques suivies et, d'autre part, les effets immédiats de ces politiques sur la demande ...

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File URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/021121358375
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Paper provided by OECD, Economics Department in its series OECD Economics Department Working Papers with number 78.

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Date of creation: Apr 1990
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Handle: RePEc:oec:ecoaaa:78-en

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  1. Philippine Cour & Eric Dubois & Selma Mahfouz & Jean Pisani-Ferry, 1996. "The Cost of Fiscal Retrenchment Revisited : How Strong is the Evidence?," Working Papers 1996-16, CEPII research center. [Downloadable!]
  2. Braconier, Henrik & Holden, Steinar, 1999. "The Public Budget Balance - Fiscal Indicators and Cyclical Sensitivity in the Nordic Countries," Working Paper 67, National Institute of Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
  3. Jansen, K., 2002. "scope for fiscal policy : with examples from Thailand," Working Papers - General Series 369, Institute of Social Studies. [Downloadable!]
  4. Sergio Ginebri & Bernardo Maggi & Manuel Turco, 2005. "The automatic reaction of the Italian government budget to fundamentals: an econometric analysis," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 37(1), pages 67-81, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Schclarek, Alfredo, 2003. "Fiscal Policy and Private Consumption in Industrial and Developing Countries," Working Papers 2003:20, Lund University, Department of Economics, revised 30 Sep 2005. [Downloadable!]
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  6. Lorenzo Forni & Sandro Momigliano, 2004. "Cyclical sensitivity of fiscal policies based on real-time data," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 540, Bank of Italy, Economic Research Department. [Downloadable!]
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  7. Martin Larch & Matteo Salto, 2005. "Fiscal rules, inertia and discretionary fiscal policy," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 37(10), pages 1135-1146, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. António Afonso & Peter Claeys, 2006. "The dynamic behaviour of budget components and output – the cases of France, Germany, Portugal, and Spain," Working Papers 2006/26, Department of Economics at the School of Economics and Management (ISEG), Technical University of Lisbon.. [Downloadable!]
  9. Julie Tam & Heather Kirkham, 2000. "Automatic Fiscal Stabilisers: Implications for New Zealand," Treasury Working Paper Series 01/10, New Zealand Treasury, revised 2001. [Downloadable!]
  10. Alberto Alesina & Roberto Perotti, 1996. "Fiscal Adjustments in OECD Countries: Composition and Macroeconomic Effects," NBER Working Papers 5730, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  11. Giancarlo Marini & Alessandro Piergallini, 2008. "Indicators and Tests of Fiscal Sustainability: An Integrated Approach," CEIS Research Paper 111, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 11 Jul 2008. [Downloadable!]
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