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Energy systems in scenarios at net-zero CO2 emissions

Author

Listed:
  • Julianne DeAngelo

    (University of California, Irvine)

  • Inês Azevedo

    (Stanford University)

  • John Bistline

    (Electric Power Research Institute)

  • Leon Clarke

    (University of Maryland)

  • Gunnar Luderer

    (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research)

  • Edward Byers

    (International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis)

  • Steven J. Davis

    (University of California, Irvine
    University of California, Irvine)

Abstract

Achieving net-zero CO2 emissions has become the explicitgoal of many climate-energy policies around the world. Although many studies have assessed net-zero emissions pathways, the common features and tradeoffs of energy systems across global scenarios at the point of net-zero CO2 emissions have not yet been evaluated. Here, we examine the energy systems of 177 net-zero scenarios and discuss their long-term technological and regional characteristics in the context of current energy policies. We find that, on average, renewable energy sources account for 60% of primary energy at net-zero (compared to ∼14% today), with slightly less than half of that renewable energy derived from biomass. Meanwhile, electricity makes up approximately half of final energy consumed (compared to ∼20% today), highlighting the extent to which solid, liquid, and gaseous fuels remain prevalent in the scenarios even when emissions reach net-zero. Finally, residual emissions and offsetting negative emissions are not evenly distributed across world regions, which may have important implications for negotiations on burden-sharing, human development, and equity.

Suggested Citation

  • Julianne DeAngelo & Inês Azevedo & John Bistline & Leon Clarke & Gunnar Luderer & Edward Byers & Steven J. Davis, 2021. "Energy systems in scenarios at net-zero CO2 emissions," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 12(1), pages 1-10, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:12:y:2021:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-021-26356-y
    DOI: 10.1038/s41467-021-26356-y
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